Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 10 hr ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/16/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Stabaek	39.8% 34.3%	25.9%	+135 +195 +140 +190	1 0	-0.90187-0.92553	-0.92095
07/16/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Bodo/Glimt	6.5% 83.1%	10.5%	+1100 -500 +1000 -475	1 2	-0.23110-0.24015	-0.18534
07/16/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Aalesund	76.3% 9.7%	14.0%	+222 +130 +205 +135	3 0	-1.21402-1.16575	-0.27008
07/09/2023 05:15 PM	Brann Molde	8.3% 78.1%	13.6%	+290 -115 +280 -120	0 2	-0.66799-0.65732	-0.24772
07/09/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Strømsgodset	38.8% 34.3%	27.0%	+110 +235 +105 +220	2 5	-1.23337-1.21224	-1.07105
07/09/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Sandefjord	42.5% 30.8%	26.7%	+167 +175 +165 +170	0 0	-1.24074-1.24344	-1.31953
07/09/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Odd	72.1% 12.8%	15.2%	-190 +485 -190 +460	2 0	-0.47244-0.47273	-0.32774
07/08/2023 04:00 PM	Haugesund Viking	24.8% 52.2%	23.0%	+465 -195 +560 -230	0 2	-0.46137-0.41225	-0.65101
07/03/2023 05:00 PM	Strømsgodset Stabaek	21.9% 55.6%	22.6%	+225 +126 +225 +120	1 0	-1.21790-1.22946	-1.51960
07/02/2023 05:15 PM	Molde Bodo/Glimt	27.2% 51.4%	21.4%	+211 +120 +255 -110	2 2	-1.39296-1.45921	-1.54234
07/02/2023 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08	29.0% 44.0%	27.0%	+700 -290 +610 -255	1 6	-0.34389-0.37930	-0.82153
07/02/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Haugesund	41.0% 33.1%	25.8%	+210 +135 +205 +135	1 2	-0.89997-0.90503	-1.10558
07/02/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Aalesund	81.8% 6.7%	11.5%	+130 +213 +125 +215	0 1	-1.18022-1.19786	-2.70261
06/25/2023 05:15 PM	Bodo/Glimt Strømsgodset	85.0% 5.8%	9.2%	-190 +430 -220 +500	0 2	-1.71652-1.84074	-2.85025
06/25/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg	16.1% 62.6%	21.3%	+217 +120 +230 +110	3 0	-1.19320-1.24223	-1.82909
06/25/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Molde	8.9% 77.3%	13.8%	+1050 -435 +975 -425	0 1	-0.25399-0.26075	-0.25767

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	1	1-0-0 (1.000)	0	-0.40094
Sportsbooks	1	0-0-0 (0.500)	1
DRatings	1	1-0-0 (1.000)	0	-0.58967	-0.18873

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.