Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-108
u3¼-111

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kristiansund
Viking		32.2%
43.4%		24.4%
+565
-222
+610
-245
1
2		-0.39827-0.39202-0.83358
Haugesund
Molde		8.9%
77.3%		13.8%
+582
-200
+540
-230
0
1		-0.40498-0.41287-0.25767
Odd
Strømsgodset		53.6%
24.0%		22.3%
+290
-111
+320
-130
0
0		-1.41067-1.44774-1.49942
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt		5.6%
84.3%		10.0%
+640
-244
+610
-260
1
4		-0.36622-0.37589-0.17027
Rosenborg
Viking		41.4%
33.4%		25.2%
+274
+100
+275
-110
1
1		-1.38450-1.39707-1.37999
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08		29.0%
44.0%		27.0%
+625
-254
+625
-275
3
4		-0.36238-0.35879-0.82153
Strømsgodset
Aalesund		59.1%
20.5%		20.4%
+205
+130
+205
+120
0
1		-0.86391-0.83637-1.58246
Bodo/Glimt
Odd		72.1%
12.8%		15.2%
-144
+400
-150
+375
2
3		-1.63030-1.60834-2.05901
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt		2.1%
93.5%		4.3%
+900
-349
+800
-350
0
2		-0.28261-0.30152-0.06683
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		24.7%
51.8%		23.4%
+515
-195
+500
-200
1
3		-0.44211-0.45495-0.65722
Viking
Haugesund		42.7%
32.2%		25.1%
+113
+252
+110
+235
2
4		-1.28204-1.25646-1.13280
Sandefjord
Viking		18.8%
60.7%		20.5%
+1211
-460
+1150
-500
2
1		-2.60140-2.57571-1.67291
Molde
Odd		63.8%
17.2%		19.0%
+118
+233
+115
+220
2
1		-0.79991-0.81577-0.44915
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund		72.1%
12.7%		15.2%
-162
+440
-165
+400
2
0		-0.50377-0.52249-0.32766
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+295
-112
+300
-120
1
5		-0.66847-0.65670-0.73699
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+177
+147
+175
+140
1
3		-0.92819-0.92480-1.03979
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.