Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/29/2023 04:00 PM	Molde Stabaek	68.2% 13.8%	18.0%	-105 +295 -110 +295	1 0	-0.71351-0.69631	-0.38205
07/24/2023 05:00 PM	Aalesund Viking	6.5% 82.9%	10.6%	+975 -425 +925 -420	1 3	-0.25972-0.26559	-0.18786
07/23/2023 05:15 PM	Rosenborg Strømsgodset	63.2% 17.1%	19.7%	+150 +165 +145 +175	1 0	-0.95938-0.94448	-0.45910
07/23/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sandefjord	82.9% 6.6%	10.5%	-288 +700 -275 +650	5 2	-0.34596-0.36071	-0.18770
07/22/2023 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Molde	7.7% 78.9%	13.4%	+550 -240 +525 -235	1 5	-0.39558-0.40522	-0.23705
07/16/2023 05:15 PM	Strømsgodset Brann	25.1% 51.0%	23.8%	+685 -305 +520 -245	0 1	-0.32325-0.39109	-0.67270
07/16/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Stabaek	39.8% 34.3%	25.9%	+135 +195 +140 +190	1 0	-0.90187-0.92553	-0.92095
07/16/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Bodo/Glimt	6.5% 83.1%	10.5%	+1100 -500 +1000 -475	1 2	-0.23110-0.24015	-0.18534
07/16/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Aalesund	76.3% 9.7%	14.0%	+222 +130 +205 +135	3 0	-1.21402-1.16575	-0.27008
07/09/2023 05:15 PM	Brann Molde	8.3% 78.1%	13.6%	+290 -115 +280 -120	0 2	-0.66799-0.65732	-0.24772
07/09/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Strømsgodset	38.8% 34.3%	27.0%	+110 +235 +105 +220	2 5	-1.23337-1.21224	-1.07105
07/09/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Sandefjord	42.5% 30.8%	26.7%	+167 +175 +165 +170	0 0	-1.24074-1.24344	-1.31953
07/09/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Odd	72.1% 12.8%	15.2%	-190 +485 -190 +460	2 0	-0.47244-0.47273	-0.32774
07/08/2023 04:00 PM	Haugesund Viking	24.8% 52.2%	23.0%	+465 -195 +560 -230	0 2	-0.46137-0.41225	-0.65101
07/03/2023 05:00 PM	Strømsgodset Stabaek	21.9% 55.6%	22.6%	+225 +126 +225 +120	1 0	-1.21790-1.22946	-1.51960
07/02/2023 05:15 PM	Molde Bodo/Glimt	27.2% 51.4%	21.4%	+211 +120 +255 -110	2 2	-1.39296-1.45921	-1.54234

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.