Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+125
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-115
u2¾+100

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+118
+210

1.69
1.55		3.24
o2¾-120
u3-125

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kristiansund
Odd		33.1%
41.8%		25.1%
+307
-106
+235
+105
1
1		-1.39647-1.38330-1.38186
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08		35.6%
35.8%		28.7%
+334
-116
+310
-120
0
4		-0.63535-0.65406-1.02845
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		42.5%
32.0%		25.5%
-115
+290
-135
+310
4
4		-1.48219-1.49919-1.36626
Viking
Aalesund		77.7%
9.1%		13.1%
+184
+150
+155
+155
1
2		-0.94204-0.98248-2.39196
Odd
Haugesund		41.0%
33.1%		25.8%
+316
-105
+280
-105
2
2		-1.34278-1.33272-1.35286
Sarpsborg 08
Sandefjord		35.3%
36.0%		28.6%
-103
+274
-115
+270
1
1		-1.41079-1.43995-1.25061
Aalesund
Molde		2.6%
91.7%		5.6%
+828
-330
+800
-350
0
3		-0.29425-0.29904-0.08617
Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt		6.5%
83.1%		10.5%
+1150
-410
+1000
-425
1
1		-1.95999-1.95701-2.25847
Kristiansund
Strømsgodset		53.5%
24.1%		22.4%
+285
-110
+300
-125
1
4		-0.67027-0.63605-1.42283
Rosenborg
Haugesund		50.9%
24.9%		24.2%
+121
+230
+115
+220
1
2		-1.21868-1.21345-1.39155
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund		63.7%
16.1%		20.1%
+238
+120
+210
+120
3
1		-1.23622-1.18123-0.45040
Odd
Sandefjord		49.9%
26.2%		23.9%
+171
+171
+145
+170
3
1		-1.01490-0.94727-0.69581
Viking
Rosenborg		25.9%
50.9%		23.2%
+316
-114
+300
-120
1
4		-0.65078-0.65670-0.67611
Sandefjord
Kristiansund		19.7%
58.7%		21.6%
+355
-129
+390
-155
1
3		-0.59769-0.54666-0.53254
Aalesund
Strømsgodset		14.8%
67.7%		17.4%
+310
-115
+335
-130
2
1		-1.43936-1.52037-1.90784
Molde
Bodo/Glimt		27.2%
51.4%		21.4%
+375
-140
+360
-145
4
1		-1.57654-1.57504-1.30092
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.