Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/02/2023 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08	29.0% 44.0%	27.0%	+700 -290 +610 -255	1 6	-0.34389-0.37930	-0.82153
07/02/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Haugesund	41.0% 33.1%	25.8%	+210 +135 +205 +135	1 2	-0.89997-0.90503	-1.10558
07/02/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Aalesund	81.8% 6.7%	11.5%	+130 +213 +125 +215	0 1	-1.18022-1.19786	-2.70261
06/25/2023 05:15 PM	Bodo/Glimt Strømsgodset	85.0% 5.8%	9.2%	-190 +430 -220 +500	0 2	-1.71652-1.84074	-2.85025
06/25/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg	16.1% 62.6%	21.3%	+217 +120 +230 +110	3 0	-1.19320-1.24223	-1.82909
06/25/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Molde	8.9% 77.3%	13.8%	+1050 -435 +975 -425	0 1	-0.25399-0.26075	-0.25767
06/24/2023 04:00 PM	Brann Viking	23.5% 53.7%	22.8%	+135 +183 +125 +175	1 3	-1.06575-1.06227	-0.62131
06/11/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Stabaek	47.9% 26.8%	25.3%	+150 +204 +155 +180	2 2	-1.18833-1.24493	-1.37472
06/11/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Sarpsborg 08	46.5% 28.3%	25.1%	+215 +115 +215 +105	3 1	-1.18130-1.19826	-0.76475
06/11/2023 03:00 PM	Molde Odd	63.8% 17.2%	19.0%	-165 +430 -155 +390	0 1	-1.71064-1.64077	-1.76236
06/11/2023 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Haugesund	25.9% 49.3%	24.8%	+265 +115 +250 +110	2 3	-0.79401-0.79239	-0.70698
06/04/2023 05:15 PM	Molde Viking	63.0% 18.0%	19.0%	+120 +204 +125 +190	4 3	-0.82757-0.86204	-0.46177
06/04/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Strømsgodset	43.9% 31.0%	25.1%	+385 -138 +370 -140	2 1	-1.62760-1.59563	-0.82403
06/04/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Sandefjord	49.9% 26.2%	23.9%	+160 +180 +145 +185	1 4	-1.07790-1.09910	-1.33922
06/04/2023 03:00 PM	Brann Aalesund	66.9% 14.6%	18.5%	-153 +425 -170 +450	3 1	-0.55205-0.51099	-0.40221
05/29/2023 03:00 PM	Aalesund Sarpsborg 08	11.6% 71.3%	17.0%	+480 -170 +490 -185	1 3	-0.48756-0.48204	-0.33784

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.