Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+125
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-115
u2¾+100

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+118
+210

1.69
1.55		3.24
o2¾-120
u3-125

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
+141
+195
+135
+195
1
2		-1.10788-1.13082-0.90421
Odd
Aalesund		76.3%
9.7%		14.0%
+288
-102
+260
-105
1
1		-1.35658-1.39659-1.96854
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+700
-266
+650
-275
1
4		-0.34103-0.35750-0.23705
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		30.6%
44.4%		25.0%
+100
+260
-105
+255
2
2		-1.42312-1.41005-1.38605
Aalesund
Rosenborg		4.9%
85.8%		9.4%
+640
-240
+650
-250
1
2		-0.37587-0.38687-0.15368
Molde
Haugesund		70.8%
12.5%		16.8%
-107
+300
-120
+305
1
0		-0.66715-0.65375-0.34564
Sarpsborg 08
Odd		22.4%
53.9%		23.7%
+140
+182
+140
+170
0
1		-1.06404-1.04222-0.61776
Haugesund
Aalesund		68.7%
13.7%		17.6%
+250
+110
+245
+110
2
1		-1.30567-1.28880-0.37541
Molde
Kristiansund		63.8%
17.1%		19.1%
-165
+449
-195
+450
3
2		-0.48470-0.46388-0.44904
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+195
+125
+200
+115
1
3		-0.83503-0.81579-1.07105
Viking
Sandefjord		51.5%
25.2%		23.2%
-108
+288
-115
+275
2
2		-1.42229-1.43658-1.46059
Odd
Bodo/Glimt		8.9%
78.7%		12.3%
+1172
-400
+950
-415
0
7		-0.22995-0.26713-0.23972
Strømsgodset
Molde		5.7%
84.3%		10.0%
+615
-230
+675
-270
0
3		-0.39155-0.36489-0.17074
Rosenborg
Odd		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
+129
+225
+120
+215
3
2		-0.84672-0.83704-0.85724
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund		92.2%
2.6%		5.1%
-126
+355
-130
+340
2
1		-0.60998-0.62146-0.08077
Kristiansund
Sandefjord		49.5%
26.3%		24.2%
+180
+155
+170
+145
0
2		-0.95763-0.94727-1.33724
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.