Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-108
u3¼-110

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aalesund
Haugesund		9.8%
75.6%		14.6%
+260
+117
+235
+115
2
2		-1.28703-1.30092-1.92257
Viking
Strømsgodset		55.5%
23.1%		21.5%
+125
+212
+115
+220
2
3		-1.17105-1.20992-1.46690
Molde
Sarpsborg 08		73.0%
10.7%		16.3%
+136
+189
+135
+180
2
1		-0.88448-0.90259-0.31425
Haugesund
Rosenborg		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+515
-178
+515
-205
3
3		-1.54613-1.57687-1.53735
Sandefjord
Odd		19.6%
59.1%		21.3%
+315
-110
+320
-120
1
0		-1.44668-1.48408-1.62811
Strømsgodset
Bodo/Glimt		4.2%
88.4%		7.4%
+715
-270
+725
-300
2
2		-1.73841-1.77137-2.60342
Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08		11.6%
71.3%		17.0%
+304
-102
+350
-130
2
1		-1.41733-1.55344-2.14995
Bodo/Glimt
Haugesund		77.9%
9.1%		13.0%
-122
+347
-130
+340
4
1		-0.62790-0.62146-0.24950
Kristiansund
Molde		12.2%
71.7%		16.0%
+840
-315
+900
-400
1
2		-0.30438-0.27338-0.33236
Haugesund
Odd		25.8%
50.3%		23.9%
+280
+101
+280
-105
4
0		-1.36195-1.38314-1.35611
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		13.8%
67.5%		18.7%
+818
-275
+725
-275
0
3		-0.33395-0.35954-0.39316
Strømsgodset
Kristiansund		17.8%
62.6%		19.6%
+210
+125
+220
+120
3
0		-1.17157-1.21073-1.72766
Molde
Aalesund		89.9%
3.3%		6.8%
+135
+205
+130
+200
2
0		-0.87996-0.88150-0.10682
Strømsgodset
Viking		16.8%
64.5%		18.6%
+650
-260
+700
-290
0
0		-1.72631-1.73875-1.68072
Odd
Molde		12.3%
71.7%		16.0%
+634
-238
+625
-260
0
3		-0.37839-0.37481-0.33216
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		63.2%
17.1%		19.7%
+146
+190
+145
+180
0
3		-1.09643-1.07937-1.76808
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.