Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/29/2023 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Odd	17.7% 62.8%	19.5%	+280 +105 +255 +105	1 1	-1.29499-1.31688	-1.63342
05/29/2023 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Molde	6.5% 82.2%	11.4%	+1329 -502 +1150 -520	0 5	-0.20642-0.22662	-0.19645
05/29/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Brann	52.4% 23.5%	24.1%	+440 -170 +460 -180	1 3	-0.51691-0.49187	-1.44791
05/29/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Bodo/Glimt	9.4% 78.2%	12.4%	+582 -230 +560 -250	1 5	-0.39278-0.38621	-0.24581
05/16/2023 04:00 PM	Odd Viking	32.3% 43.4%	24.3%	+444 -157 +420 -165	2 3	-0.52295-0.52281	-0.83492
05/16/2023 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Strømsgodset	35.5% 38.4%	26.1%	+340 -125 +350 -135	0 1	-0.62818-0.60296	-0.95719
05/16/2023 04:00 PM	Haugesund Rosenborg	18.6% 59.9%	21.5%	+455 -130 +475 -155	0 1	-0.59649-0.54512	-0.51259
05/16/2023 04:00 PM	Stabaek Brann	35.8% 36.0%	28.2%	+936 -296 +850 -310	1 4	-0.31818-0.33012	-1.02151
05/16/2023 04:00 PM	Molde Aalesund	89.9% 3.3%	6.8%	-142 +454 -160 +460	1 3	-1.74194-1.77190	-3.40100
05/13/2023 03:00 PM	Aalesund Stabaek	8.9% 77.1%	14.0%	+431 -130 +370 -125	0 1	-0.59695-0.63660	-0.26039
05/13/2023 03:00 PM	Brann Sarpsborg 08	34.0% 37.2%	28.9%	-105 +304 -105 +260	1 2	-1.40969-1.32946	-0.98961
05/13/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Sandefjord	51.5% 25.2%	23.2%	+101 +282 -105 +265	2 1	-0.72377-0.71719	-0.66306
05/13/2023 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Molde	5.7% 84.3%	10.0%	+900 -370 +1100 -465	2 3	-0.28787-0.24479	-0.17074
05/13/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Bodo/Glimt	13.4% 70.6%	16.0%	+878 -317 +800 -305	2 3	-0.30397-0.33343	-0.34847
05/07/2023 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Viking	16.8% 64.5%	18.6%	+590 -230 +560 -225	1 1	-1.61767-1.61949	-1.68072
05/07/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek	26.7% 46.5%	26.8%	+184 +152 +180 +150	1 1	-1.29916-1.27379	-1.31841

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.