Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+131
+175
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-107

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+550
-217
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o2¾-124
u3-122

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
2.50
o3¼+101
u3¼-112

1st H
00:05		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kristiansund
Haugesund		40.9%
33.2%		26.0%
+281
+105
+275
+100
0
2		-0.74034-0.74421-1.10358
Viking
Molde		12.8%
71.2%		16.0%
+232
+120
+240
+105
4
3		-1.21470-1.27122-2.05377
Odd
Sarpsborg 08		44.8%
29.2%		26.0%
+370
-125
+400
-150
0
1		-0.60594-0.56263-1.23189
Haugesund
Viking		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+640
-210
+625
-235
1
5		-0.40762-0.40329-0.65101
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+217
+131
+215
+120
0
0		-1.32678-1.32950-1.47894
Bodo/Glimt
Viking		71.4%
13.4%		15.3%
+201
+133
+180
+140
0
2		-0.86681-0.92576-2.01276
Sandefjord
Strømsgodset		35.5%
38.4%		26.1%
+420
-155
+440
-160
5
0		-1.69119-1.73568-1.03465
Aalesund
Odd		6.9%
81.8%		11.3%
+266
+106
+310
-115
3
2		-1.32460-1.46240-2.67655
Viking
Odd		34.5%
40.7%		24.8%
+108
+262
+100
+260
1
2		-1.31342-1.33139-0.90005
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
+210
+144
+195
+140
1
1		-1.25832-1.27236-1.41626
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+215
+135
+215
+130
1
0		-1.18218-1.19690-1.43456
Aalesund
Viking		6.5%
82.9%		10.6%
+640
-221
+600
-250
0
1		-0.39278-0.38833-0.18786
Odd
Rosenborg		24.8%
51.8%		23.3%
+435
-148
+425
-155
0
1		-0.54001-0.54504-0.65772
Molde
Strømsgodset		79.7%
8.0%		12.4%
+155
+170
+125
+200
3
1		-0.96766-0.86138-0.22721
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund		22.5%
53.7%		23.8%
+228
+136
+230
+120
3
2		-1.20367-1.24434-1.49330
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord		82.9%
6.6%		10.5%
-125
+391
-130
+375
2
1		-0.60591-0.62269-0.18770
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.