Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+131
+175
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-107

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+550
-217
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o2¾-124
u3-122

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord		82.9%
6.6%		10.5%
-125
+391
-130
+375
2
1		-0.60591-0.62269-0.18770
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		13.4%
70.6%		16.0%
+618
-208
+575
-225
2
2		-1.58631-1.60784-1.83015
Sandefjord
Haugesund		25.9%
49.3%		24.8%
+312
+101
+280
+105
3
1		-1.44388-1.38326-1.35046
Kristiansund
Aalesund		76.2%
9.8%		14.1%
+234
+120
+220
+115
0
1		-0.81308-0.81577-2.32790
Viking
Sarpsborg 08		46.5%
28.3%		25.1%
+208
+142
+195
+140
1
0		-1.14747-1.13038-0.76475
Bodo/Glimt
Mjondalen		79.3%
11.5%		9.2%
-175
+474
-200
+525
3
0		-0.47507-0.45319-0.23133
Molde
Haugesund		63.3%
20.1%		16.6%
-119
+280
-120
+275
2
1		-0.64320-0.65514-0.45762
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		32.6%
41.3%		26.1%
+690
-256
+610
-225
1
2		-0.37442-0.41703-0.88361
Stabaek
Odd		31.5%
45.0%		23.5%
+210
+121
+215
+115
1
3		-0.83803-0.81353-0.79895
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg		19.9%
63.6%		16.5%
+589
-217
+600
-240
2
2		-1.62242-1.65700-1.80278
Odd
Viking		34.9%
42.4%		22.7%
+420
-167
+450
-160
1
3		-0.51837-0.53164-0.85856
Haugesund
Strømsgodset		42.6%
33.8%		23.6%
+186
+136
+200
+120
0
0		-1.36696-1.38478-1.44541
Kristiansund
Sandefjord		46.5%
30.5%		23.0%
+215
+128
+210
+120
2
3		-0.85746-0.83829-1.18698
Rosenborg
Stabaek		45.3%
30.6%		24.1%
+123
+215
+120
+215
3
1		-0.85231-0.83704-0.79151
Brann
Bodo/Glimt		13.2%
76.6%		10.2%
+840
-303
+650
-280
2
2		-1.75146-1.77037-2.28082
Molde
Brann		64.3%
19.3%		16.4%
+131
+192
+130
+180
1
0		-0.87175-0.88010-0.44160
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.