Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+125
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-121
u2¾+102

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+115
+220

1.69
1.55		3.24
o3-102
u3-118

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Aalesund		89.9%
3.3%		6.8%
+135
+205
+130
+200
2
0		-0.87996-0.88150-0.10682
Strømsgodset
Viking		16.8%
64.5%		18.6%
+650
-260
+700
-290
0
0		-1.72631-1.73875-1.68072
Odd
Molde		12.3%
71.7%		16.0%
+634
-238
+625
-260
0
3		-0.37839-0.37481-0.33216
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		63.2%
17.1%		19.7%
+146
+190
+145
+180
0
3		-1.09643-1.07937-1.76808
Kristiansund
Haugesund		40.9%
33.2%		26.0%
+281
+105
+275
+100
0
2		-0.74034-0.74421-1.10358
Viking
Molde		12.8%
71.2%		16.0%
+232
+120
+240
+105
4
3		-1.21470-1.27122-2.05377
Odd
Sarpsborg 08		44.8%
29.2%		26.0%
+370
-125
+400
-150
0
1		-0.60594-0.56263-1.23189
Haugesund
Viking		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+640
-210
+625
-235
1
5		-0.40762-0.40329-0.65101
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+217
+131
+215
+120
0
0		-1.32678-1.32950-1.47894
Bodo/Glimt
Viking		71.4%
13.4%		15.3%
+201
+133
+180
+140
0
2		-0.86681-0.92576-2.01276
Sandefjord
Strømsgodset		35.5%
38.4%		26.1%
+420
-155
+440
-160
5
0		-1.69119-1.73568-1.03465
Aalesund
Odd		6.9%
81.8%		11.3%
+266
+106
+310
-115
3
2		-1.32460-1.46240-2.67655
Viking
Odd		34.5%
40.7%		24.8%
+108
+262
+100
+260
1
2		-1.31342-1.33139-0.90005
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
+210
+144
+195
+140
1
1		-1.25832-1.27236-1.41626
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+215
+135
+215
+130
1
0		-1.18218-1.19690-1.43456
Aalesund
Viking		6.5%
82.9%		10.6%
+640
-221
+600
-250
0
1		-0.39278-0.38833-0.18786
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.