Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+131
+175
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-107

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+550
-217
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o2¾-124
u3-122

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sarpsborg 08
Mjondalen		41.4%
32.5%		26.1%
+135
+225
+160
+175
3
1		-0.90007-1.00550-0.88283
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg		55.9%
25.9%		18.2%
+129
+200
+135
+205
0
0		-1.31733-1.27022-1.70556
Sandefjord
Haugesund		30.1%
46.3%		23.7%
+306
-104
+320
-110
2
1		-1.43826-1.48554-1.20227
Viking
Kristiansund		36.5%
40.5%		23.0%
+135
+185
+130
+175
3
2		-0.88994-0.88322-1.00701
Rosenborg
Molde		24.7%
55.9%		19.4%
+539
-208
+475
-200
1
4		-0.41113-0.45531-0.58125
Odd
Sarpsborg 08		43.2%
32.3%		24.6%
+350
-130
+305
-115
1
1		-1.38043-1.35907-1.40421
Brann
Sandefjord		38.8%
36.0%		25.2%
+135
+205
+125
+205
2
2		-1.29938-1.32980-1.37797
Kristiansund
Stabaek		38.7%
36.7%		24.5%
+134
+194
+125
+195
0
3		-1.11902-1.13069-1.00139
Haugesund
Viking		29.7%
48.3%		22.0%
+550
-222
+540
-210
1
1		-1.61898-1.57586-1.51490
Mjondalen
Strømsgodset		32.4%
44.0%		23.6%
+400
-149
+400
-155
2
1		-1.64201-1.65989-1.12785
Sandefjord
Molde		13.3%
74.8%		11.9%
+1400
-500
+1100
-450
1
3		-0.21633-0.24914-0.29002
Bodo/Glimt
Haugesund		70.1%
17.3%		12.6%
-101
+270
-115
+295
2
2		-1.37223-1.38494-2.07116
Viking
Mjondalen		53.5%
25.9%		20.6%
-111
+280
-125
+295
1
0		-0.68695-0.63906-0.62577
Kristiansund
Odd		35.4%
41.3%		23.3%
+240
+112
+210
+115
4
2		-1.24967-1.18101-1.03860
Stabaek
Sarpsborg 08		38.3%
35.3%		26.4%
+470
-156
+460
-160
1
4		-0.53198-0.53464-1.04194
Rosenborg
Brann		48.5%
28.3%		23.2%
+225
+125
+190
+135
2
2		-1.32848-1.31770-1.46110
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.