Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/16/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Bodo/Glimt	7.2% 81.5%	11.4%	+882 -325 +900 -375	0 4	-0.29672-0.28467	-0.20512
04/10/2023 05:15 PM	Haugesund Brann	33.9% 38.7%	27.4%	+675 -260 +700 -270	0 3	-0.37352-0.36464	-0.94887
04/10/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Stabaek	38.2% 35.1%	26.6%	+293 +110 +255 +110	0 0	-1.26072-1.27447	-1.32276
04/10/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sarpsborg 08	79.8% 7.8%	12.4%	-100 +262 -105 +260	2 0	-0.71966-0.71756	-0.22591
04/10/2023 12:30 PM	Viking Rosenborg	25.9% 50.9%	23.2%	+285 +101 +285 -110	0 1	-0.72528-0.69563	-0.67611
11/13/2022 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg	16.1% 62.6%	21.3%	+500 -195 +425 -190	3 2	-1.81523-1.70672	-1.82909
11/13/2022 04:00 PM	Haugesund Sandefjord	40.2% 33.1%	26.7%	+237 +105 +235 +100	2 2	-1.43902-1.43368	-1.31957
11/13/2022 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Strømsgodset	85.0% 5.8%	9.2%	-150 +310 -150 +305	4 2	-0.55379-0.56056	-0.16275
11/13/2022 04:00 PM	Odd Viking	32.3% 43.4%	24.3%	+277 -111 +240 -105	1 1	-1.46772-1.46003	-1.41527
11/06/2022 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Molde	6.5% 82.2%	11.4%	+983 -390 +975 -425	1 2	-0.25228-0.26075	-0.19645
11/06/2022 04:00 PM	Viking Bodo/Glimt	9.4% 78.2%	12.4%	+1231 -466 +1150 -460	4 5	-0.22570-0.24510	-0.24581
11/06/2022 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Odd	17.7% 62.8%	19.5%	+290 -115 +280 -120	1 5	-0.65745-0.65732	-0.46566
11/06/2022 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08	44.6% 29.2%	26.2%	+270 -107 +260 -110	2 2	-1.46003-1.43658	-1.34037
10/23/2022 05:00 PM	Rosenborg Molde	17.9% 62.1%	20.0%	+305 -118 +285 -120	1 2	-0.63978-0.65693	-0.47594
10/23/2022 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Bodo/Glimt	8.9% 78.7%	12.4%	+1383 -565 +1300 -625	0 5	-0.18978-0.19830	-0.23984
10/23/2022 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Aalesund	61.1% 18.6%	20.3%	+330 -121 +330 -130	0 1	-0.62319-0.62023	-1.68352

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.