Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/16/2022 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Viking	21.5% 55.8%	22.7%	+231 +113 +240 +100	1 0	-1.22142-1.27307	-1.53582
10/16/2022 03:00 PM	Haugesund Kristiansund	25.8% 50.1%	24.0%	+213 +130 +195 +125	1 0	-1.15830-1.13069	-1.35301
10/15/2022 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Rosenborg	12.3% 71.0%	16.7%	+821 -311 +725 -300	0 3	-0.31297-0.33626	-0.34183
10/09/2022 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Bodo/Glimt	4.7% 86.8%	8.5%	+1787 -707 +1625 -800	1 4	-0.15168-0.16858	-0.14191
10/09/2022 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Odd	33.1% 41.8%	25.1%	+307 -106 +235 +105	1 1	-1.39647-1.38330	-1.38186
10/08/2022 04:00 PM	Haugesund Sarpsborg 08	35.6% 35.8%	28.7%	+334 -116 +310 -120	0 4	-0.63535-0.65406	-1.02845
10/02/2022 05:00 PM	Rosenborg Kristiansund	42.5% 32.0%	25.5%	-115 +290 -135 +310	4 4	-1.48219-1.49919	-1.36626
10/02/2022 03:00 PM	Viking Aalesund	77.7% 9.1%	13.1%	+184 +150 +155 +155	1 2	-0.94204-0.98248	-2.39196
10/02/2022 03:00 PM	Odd Haugesund	41.0% 33.1%	25.8%	+316 -105 +280 -105	2 2	-1.34278-1.33272	-1.35286
10/02/2022 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord	35.3% 36.0%	28.6%	-103 +274 -115 +270	1 1	-1.41079-1.43995	-1.25061
09/18/2022 06:00 PM	Aalesund Molde	2.6% 91.7%	5.6%	+828 -330 +800 -350	0 3	-0.29425-0.29904	-0.08617
09/18/2022 04:00 PM	Haugesund Bodo/Glimt	6.5% 83.1%	10.5%	+1150 -410 +1000 -425	1 1	-1.95999-1.95701	-2.25847
09/18/2022 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Strømsgodset	53.5% 24.1%	22.4%	+285 -110 +300 -125	1 4	-0.67027-0.63605	-1.42283
09/11/2022 06:00 PM	Rosenborg Haugesund	50.9% 24.9%	24.2%	+121 +230 +115 +220	1 2	-1.21868-1.21345	-1.39155
09/11/2022 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund	63.7% 16.1%	20.1%	+238 +120 +210 +120	3 1	-1.23622-1.18123	-0.45040
09/10/2022 02:00 PM	Odd Sandefjord	49.9% 26.2%	23.9%	+171 +171 +145 +170	3 1	-1.01490-0.94727	-0.69581

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.