Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+125
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-119
u2¾+102

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+115
+220

1.69
1.55		3.24
o3-102
u3-114

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Odd
Rosenborg		24.8%
51.8%		23.3%
+435
-148
+425
-155
0
1		-0.54001-0.54504-0.65772
Molde
Strømsgodset		79.7%
8.0%		12.4%
+155
+170
+125
+200
3
1		-0.96766-0.86138-0.22721
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund		22.5%
53.7%		23.8%
+228
+136
+230
+120
3
2		-1.20367-1.24434-1.49330
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord		82.9%
6.6%		10.5%
-125
+391
-130
+375
2
1		-0.60591-0.62269-0.18770
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		13.4%
70.6%		16.0%
+618
-208
+575
-225
2
2		-1.58631-1.60784-1.83015
Sandefjord
Haugesund		25.9%
49.3%		24.8%
+312
+101
+280
+105
3
1		-1.44388-1.38326-1.35046
Kristiansund
Aalesund		76.2%
9.8%		14.1%
+234
+120
+220
+115
0
1		-0.81308-0.81577-2.32790
Viking
Sarpsborg 08		46.5%
28.3%		25.1%
+208
+142
+195
+140
1
0		-1.14747-1.13038-0.76475
Bodo/Glimt
Mjondalen		79.3%
11.5%		9.2%
-175
+474
-200
+525
3
0		-0.47507-0.45319-0.23133
Molde
Haugesund		63.3%
20.1%		16.6%
-119
+280
-120
+275
2
1		-0.64320-0.65514-0.45762
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		32.6%
41.3%		26.1%
+690
-256
+610
-225
1
2		-0.37442-0.41703-0.88361
Stabaek
Odd		31.5%
45.0%		23.5%
+210
+121
+215
+115
1
3		-0.83803-0.81353-0.79895
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg		19.9%
63.6%		16.5%
+589
-217
+600
-240
2
2		-1.62242-1.65700-1.80278
Odd
Viking		34.9%
42.4%		22.7%
+420
-167
+450
-160
1
3		-0.51837-0.53164-0.85856
Haugesund
Strømsgodset		42.6%
33.8%		23.6%
+186
+136
+200
+120
0
0		-1.36696-1.38478-1.44541
Kristiansund
Sandefjord		46.5%
30.5%		23.0%
+215
+128
+210
+120
2
3		-0.85746-0.83829-1.18698
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.