Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+131
+175
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-107

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+550
-217
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o2¾-124
u3-122

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viking
Brann		42.9%
33.6%		23.5%
+171
+142
+170
+140
2
0		-1.03485-1.04557-0.84555
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.3%
37.3%		21.4%
+255
-107
+260
-120
2
0		-1.31681-1.33268-0.88470
Rosenborg
Haugesund		47.4%
29.4%		23.2%
+158
+174
+145
+175
0
0		-1.29653-1.32931-1.45947
Kristiansund
Mjondalen		52.0%
26.4%		21.6%
+109
+240
+110
+230
0
5		-1.27001-1.24573-1.33181
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		33.5%
43.0%		23.5%
+240
+113
+240
+105
0
2		-0.79520-0.76873-0.84423
Brann
Odd		29.1%
48.2%		22.7%
+140
+186
+130
+190
3
3		-1.34025-1.35701-1.48259
Bodo/Glimt
Strømsgodset		77.9%
13.2%		8.9%
-135
+330
-140
+310
1
1		-1.49023-1.55235-2.42295
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund		27.5%
49.4%		23.0%
+301
-110
+335
-130
3
1		-1.42051-1.52037-1.29026
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		20.9%
60.5%		18.6%
+690
-256
+600
-230
1
4		-0.37253-0.41015-0.50249
Molde
Stabaek		61.1%
21.2%		17.7%
-192
+469
-200
+475
3
0		-0.46429-0.45531-0.49305
Viking
Strømsgodset		50.7%
28.8%		20.5%
+166
+144
+165
+140
1
0		-1.02611-1.02376-0.67830
Odd
Sandefjord		46.7%
30.5%		22.8%
+200
+140
+175
+150
0
0		-1.29197-1.30096-1.47718
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt		12.3%
77.4%		10.4%
+900
-312
+850
-360
1
2		-0.30169-0.29562-0.25645
Mjondalen
Haugesund		26.0%
51.6%		22.4%
+480
-159
+460
-160
0
7		-0.51768-0.53464-0.66149
Stabaek
Brann		37.1%
37.3%		25.6%
+700
-238
+650
-235
1
1		-1.62192-1.58557-1.36145
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		41.7%
34.5%		23.8%
+181
+142
+185
+135
0
1		-0.92958-0.90357-1.06418
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.