Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/04/2022 04:00 PM	Viking Rosenborg	25.9% 50.9%	23.2%	+316 -114 +300 -120	1 4	-0.65078-0.65670	-0.67611
09/04/2022 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Kristiansund	19.7% 58.7%	21.6%	+355 -129 +390 -155	1 3	-0.59769-0.54666	-0.53254
09/04/2022 04:00 PM	Aalesund Strømsgodset	14.8% 67.7%	17.4%	+310 -115 +335 -130	2 1	-1.43936-1.52037	-1.90784
09/03/2022 04:00 PM	Molde Bodo/Glimt	27.2% 51.4%	21.4%	+375 -140 +360 -145	4 1	-1.57654-1.57504	-1.30092
08/31/2022 05:00 PM	Viking Kristiansund	34.6% 40.5%	24.9%	+141 +195 +135 +195	1 2	-1.10788-1.13082	-0.90421
08/28/2022 04:00 PM	Odd Aalesund	76.3% 9.7%	14.0%	+288 -102 +260 -105	1 1	-1.35658-1.39659	-1.96854
08/28/2022 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Molde	7.7% 78.9%	13.4%	+700 -266 +650 -275	1 4	-0.34103-0.35750	-0.23705
08/27/2022 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sandefjord	30.6% 44.4%	25.0%	+100 +260 -105 +255	2 2	-1.42312-1.41005	-1.38605
08/21/2022 06:00 PM	Aalesund Rosenborg	4.9% 85.8%	9.4%	+640 -240 +650 -250	1 2	-0.37587-0.38687	-0.15368
08/21/2022 04:00 PM	Molde Haugesund	70.8% 12.5%	16.8%	-107 +300 -120 +305	1 0	-0.66715-0.65375	-0.34564
08/20/2022 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Odd	22.4% 53.9%	23.7%	+140 +182 +140 +170	0 1	-1.06404-1.04222	-0.61776
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Haugesund Aalesund	68.7% 13.7%	17.6%	+250 +110 +245 +110	2 1	-1.30567-1.28880	-0.37541
08/07/2022 04:00 PM	Molde Kristiansund	63.8% 17.1%	19.1%	-165 +449 -195 +450	3 2	-0.48470-0.46388	-0.44904
08/07/2022 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Strømsgodset	38.8% 34.3%	27.0%	+195 +125 +200 +115	1 3	-0.83503-0.81579	-1.07105
08/07/2022 04:00 PM	Viking Sandefjord	51.5% 25.2%	23.2%	-108 +288 -115 +275	2 2	-1.42229-1.43658	-1.46059
08/06/2022 02:00 PM	Odd Bodo/Glimt	8.9% 78.7%	12.3%	+1172 -400 +950 -415	0 7	-0.22995-0.26713	-0.23972

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.