Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+131
+175
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-107

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+550
-217
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o2¾-124
u3-122

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Odd		57.2%
24.4%		18.4%
-107
+269
-115
+255
3
1		-0.70326-0.68443-0.55867
Brann
Mjondalen		43.6%
31.4%		25.0%
+128
+219
+120
+220
1
1		-1.29605-1.31453-1.38725
Bodo/Glimt
Stabaek		68.0%
18.4%		13.6%
-222
+622
-230
+600
3
0		-0.41397-0.41228-0.38556
Sandefjord
Viking		25.4%
54.8%		19.8%
+440
-175
+470
-190
1
2		-0.50215-0.47202-0.60122
Strømsgodset
Stabaek		27.4%
50.9%		21.7%
+111
+242
+110
+220
0
0		-1.37381-1.38557-1.52818
Stabaek
Sandefjord		41.6%
33.4%		24.9%
+400
-155
+395
-160
3
0		-1.65711-1.64813-0.87625
Kristiansund
Brann		41.6%
34.1%		24.3%
+207
+116
+215
+115
1
3		-0.81423-0.81353-1.07537
Odd
Haugesund		40.7%
35.3%		24.0%
+360
-139
+390
-155
3
1		-1.56748-1.63804-0.89818
Viking
Molde		21.0%
63.5%		15.5%
+610
-273
+580
-260
2
2		-1.80205-1.75458-1.86439
Mjondalen
Rosenborg		17.6%
65.5%		16.9%
+900
-345
+825
-295
1
3		-0.30112-0.34167-0.42274
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset		39.1%
36.0%		24.9%
+247
+109
+265
+100
0
5		-0.77916-0.74360-1.02193
Bodo/Glimt
Viking		63.6%
22.0%		14.4%
+133
+181
+125
+180
3
1		-0.87733-0.86123-0.45326
Sandefjord
Mjondalen		39.3%
35.4%		25.2%
+175
+154
+160
+175
1
1		-1.29492-1.24396-1.37662
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		49.9%
26.7%		23.4%
+168
+179
+170
+180
3
1		-1.01545-1.04214-0.69581
Haugesund
Kristiansund		30.2%
46.9%		22.9%
+245
+101
+265
-105
2
3		-0.74743-0.71719-0.75709
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08		32.0%
42.6%		25.5%
+262
+126
+250
+115
0
5		-0.82812-0.81792-0.85440
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.