Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Strømsgodset
Molde
5.7%
84.3%
10.0%
+615
-230
+675
-270
0
3
-0.39155-0.36489-0.17074
Rosenborg
Odd
42.4%
32.1%
25.4%
+129
+225
+120
+215
3
2
-0.84672-0.83704-0.85724
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
92.2%
2.6%
5.1%
-126
+355
-130
+340
2
1
-0.60998-0.62146-0.08077
Kristiansund
Sandefjord
49.5%
26.3%
24.2%
+180
+155
+170
+145
0
2
-0.95763-0.94727-1.33724
Odd
Kristiansund
33.3%
41.5%
25.1%
+226
+122
+190
+130
2
2
-1.35124-1.35701-1.38135
Molde
Sandefjord
77.0%
9.0%
13.9%
-163
+425
-160
+370
3
2
-0.50385-0.53466-0.26098
Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund
28.7%
44.2%
27.0%
+152
+176
+145
+170
1
3
-1.03866-1.04441-0.81624
Rosenborg
Aalesund
81.8%
6.7%
11.5%
+150
+194
+140
+190
0
0
-1.29869-1.28844-2.15978
Kristiansund
Viking
32.2%
43.4%
24.4%
+565
-222
+610
-245
1
2
-0.39827-0.39202-0.83358
Haugesund
Molde
8.9%
77.3%
13.8%
+582
-200
+540
-230
0
1
-0.40498-0.41287-0.25767
Odd
Strømsgodset
53.6%
24.0%
22.3%
+290
-111
+320
-130
0
0
-1.41067-1.44774-1.49942
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt
5.6%
84.3%
10.0%
+640
-244
+610
-260
1
4
-0.36622-0.37589-0.17027
Rosenborg
Viking
41.4%
33.4%
25.2%
+274
+100
+275
-110
1
1
-1.38450-1.39707-1.37999
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08
29.0%
44.0%
27.0%
+625
-254
+625
-275
3
4
-0.36238-0.35879-0.82153
Strømsgodset
Aalesund
59.1%
20.5%
20.4%
+205
+130
+205
+120
0
1
-0.86391-0.83637-1.58246
Bodo/Glimt
Odd
72.1%
12.8%
15.2%
-144
+400
-150
+375
2
3
-1.63030-1.60834-2.05901
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.