Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Molde
Rosenborg 		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+220
+105

1.85
1.17		3.02
o3-102
u3-118

Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08 		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+235
-105

1.12
1.57		2.69
o3-115
u3-105

Games for Apr 26, 2025
Games for Apr 30, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+116
+225

3.24
o2¾-120
u3-122

2nd H
58:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viking
Mjondalen		53.5%
25.9%		20.6%
-111
+280
-125
+295
1
0		-0.68695-0.63906-0.62577
Kristiansund
Odd		35.4%
41.3%		23.3%
+240
+112
+210
+115
4
2		-1.24967-1.18101-1.03860
Stabaek
Sarpsborg 08		38.3%
35.3%		26.4%
+470
-156
+460
-160
1
4		-0.53198-0.53464-1.04194
Rosenborg
Brann		48.5%
28.3%		23.2%
+225
+125
+190
+135
2
2		-1.32848-1.31770-1.46110
Viking
Brann		42.9%
33.6%		23.5%
+171
+142
+170
+140
2
0		-1.03485-1.04557-0.84555
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.3%
37.3%		21.4%
+255
-107
+260
-120
2
0		-1.31681-1.33268-0.88470
Rosenborg
Haugesund		47.4%
29.4%		23.2%
+158
+174
+145
+175
0
0		-1.29653-1.32931-1.45947
Kristiansund
Mjondalen		52.0%
26.4%		21.6%
+109
+240
+110
+230
0
5		-1.27001-1.24573-1.33181
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		33.5%
43.0%		23.5%
+240
+113
+240
+105
0
2		-0.79520-0.76873-0.84423
Brann
Odd		29.1%
48.2%		22.7%
+140
+186
+130
+190
3
3		-1.34025-1.35701-1.48259
Bodo/Glimt
Strømsgodset		77.9%
13.2%		8.9%
-135
+330
-140
+310
1
1		-1.49023-1.55235-2.42295
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund		27.5%
49.4%		23.0%
+301
-110
+335
-130
3
1		-1.42051-1.52037-1.29026
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		20.9%
60.5%		18.6%
+690
-256
+600
-230
1
4		-0.37253-0.41015-0.50249
Molde
Stabaek		61.1%
21.2%		17.7%
-192
+469
-200
+475
3
0		-0.46429-0.45531-0.49305
Viking
Strømsgodset		50.7%
28.8%		20.5%
+166
+144
+165
+140
1
0		-1.02611-1.02376-0.67830
Odd
Sandefjord		46.7%
30.5%		22.8%
+200
+140
+175
+150
0
0		-1.29197-1.30096-1.47718
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.84190 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.87361
-0.03171

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.