Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+131
+175
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-109

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+575
-217
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o3+102
u2¾+115

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-112
u2¾-105

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strømsgodset
Odd		24.8%
56.4%		18.8%
+261
+103
+250
+100
1
0		-1.33003-1.30726-1.39618
Rosenborg
Viking		41.0%
35.6%		23.4%
+220
+128
+200
+125
1
2		-0.84532-0.86138-1.03282
Molde
Kristiansund		57.2%
24.3%		18.4%
+123
+218
+120
+200
0
2		-1.16967-1.14841-1.41325
Haugesund
Brann		35.7%
39.1%		25.2%
+174
+160
+170
+160
3
1		-1.05157-1.04120-1.03047
Odd
Rosenborg		29.6%
48.1%		22.3%
+385
-145
+380
-150
0
5		-0.55946-0.56173-0.73253
Kristiansund
Bodo/Glimt		17.3%
70.8%		11.8%
+590
-246
+600
-240
0
3		-0.38474-0.39591-0.34509
Brann
Strømsgodset		41.2%
34.7%		24.0%
+282
-110
+275
-110
1
3		-0.68776-0.69888-1.05702
Mjondalen
Stabaek		24.6%
53.3%		22.1%
+210
+136
+220
+140
1
1		-1.24424-1.18185-1.50760
Sandefjord
Brann		30.9%
44.8%		24.3%
+241
+108
+260
+105
2
3		-0.78658-0.76787-0.80236
Molde
Viking		56.5%
25.2%		18.3%
+147
+156
+145
+160
2
3		-0.99058-1.00351-1.37837
Haugesund
Odd		30.2%
47.1%		22.8%
+142
+187
+145
+180
2
4		-1.09300-1.07937-0.75390
Rosenborg
Mjondalen		59.1%
21.4%		19.5%
+106
+261
+105
+265
2
1		-0.76973-0.76819-0.52560
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		30.8%
45.3%		23.9%
+255
+105
+240
+110
0
1		-0.75967-0.79264-0.79261
Stabaek
Kristiansund		31.5%
44.8%		23.7%
+375
-150
+400
-160
1
5		-0.55776-0.53495-0.80223
Sarpsborg 08
Stabaek		30.2%
44.3%		25.5%
+215
+141
+210
+150
1
3		-0.92354-0.96551-0.81425
Kristiansund
Viking		34.8%
42.4%		22.8%
+265
-106
+275
-110
2
3		-0.70591-0.69563-0.85769
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.