Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Molde
Rosenborg 		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+265
-110

1.85
1.17		3.02
o3-102
u3-118

Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08 		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+235
-105

1.12
1.57		2.69
o3-110
u3-110

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Odd
Sandefjord		46.7%
30.5%		22.8%
+200
+140
+175
+150
0
0		-1.29197-1.30096-1.47718
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt		12.3%
77.4%		10.4%
+900
-312
+850
-360
1
2		-0.30169-0.29562-0.25645
Mjondalen
Haugesund		26.0%
51.6%		22.4%
+480
-159
+460
-160
0
7		-0.51768-0.53464-0.66149
Stabaek
Brann		37.1%
37.3%		25.6%
+700
-238
+650
-235
1
1		-1.62192-1.58557-1.36145
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		41.7%
34.5%		23.8%
+181
+142
+185
+135
0
1		-0.92958-0.90357-1.06418
Molde
Odd		57.2%
24.4%		18.4%
-107
+269
-115
+255
3
1		-0.70326-0.68443-0.55867
Brann
Mjondalen		43.6%
31.4%		25.0%
+128
+219
+120
+220
1
1		-1.29605-1.31453-1.38725
Bodo/Glimt
Stabaek		68.0%
18.4%		13.6%
-222
+622
-230
+600
3
0		-0.41397-0.41228-0.38556
Sandefjord
Viking		25.4%
54.8%		19.8%
+440
-175
+470
-190
1
2		-0.50215-0.47202-0.60122
Strømsgodset
Stabaek		27.4%
50.9%		21.7%
+111
+242
+110
+220
0
0		-1.37381-1.38557-1.52818
Stabaek
Sandefjord		41.6%
33.4%		24.9%
+400
-155
+395
-160
3
0		-1.65711-1.64813-0.87625
Kristiansund
Brann		41.6%
34.1%		24.3%
+207
+116
+215
+115
1
3		-0.81423-0.81353-1.07537
Odd
Haugesund		40.7%
35.3%		24.0%
+360
-139
+390
-155
3
1		-1.56748-1.63804-0.89818
Viking
Molde		21.0%
63.5%		15.5%
+610
-273
+580
-260
2
2		-1.80205-1.75458-1.86439
Mjondalen
Rosenborg		17.6%
65.5%		16.9%
+900
-345
+825
-295
1
3		-0.30112-0.34167-0.42274
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset		39.1%
36.0%		24.9%
+247
+109
+265
+100
0
5		-0.77916-0.74360-1.02193
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.09016 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.16770
-0.07754

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.