Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+130
+178
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼-108
u3¼-111

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+600
-238
+550
-220
1.00
1.96		2.96
o3-105
u3-113

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+235
+105
+250
+105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-111
u2¾-108

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Haugesund
Molde		16.4%
69.6%		14.0%
+449
-182
+475
-185
4
5		-0.48414-0.48122-0.36269
Sandefjord
Odd		25.9%
53.6%		20.5%
+270
-105
+285
+100
3
2		-1.36684-1.39647-1.35031
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		28.7%
48.8%		22.5%
+401
-154
+425
-175
1
2		-0.53811-0.50226-0.71760
Stabaek
Mjondalen		46.1%
28.7%		25.1%
+295
-102
+290
+100
2
1		-1.42060-1.41026-0.77360
Mjondalen
Sarpsborg 08		27.5%
47.2%		25.3%
+331
+106
+350
-105
1
1		-1.17509-1.19799-1.37579
Haugesund
Sandefjord		39.1%
34.2%		26.7%
+150
+187
+150
+185
1
1		-1.24410-1.24643-1.32039
Odd
Strømsgodset		49.1%
29.1%		21.9%
+229
+111
+240
+110
0
3		-0.78362-0.79264-1.23608
Stabaek
Strømsgodset		43.5%
31.7%		24.8%
+341
-132
+330
-145
1
2		-0.60510-0.57490-1.14980
Sandefjord
Kristiansund		25.9%
53.3%		20.8%
+350
-118
+340
-125
0
2		-0.64354-0.63951-0.62959
Mjondalen
Brann		26.6%
49.9%		23.4%
+280
+109
+290
+100
1
1		-1.27769-1.27307-1.45158
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08		74.3%
15.9%		9.8%
+116
+251
+120
+230
2
2		-1.27748-1.27418-2.32647
Viking
Odd		35.6%
39.6%		24.8%
+282
+116
+270
-110
2
3		-0.75109-0.69589-0.92566
Odd
Molde		20.6%
65.2%		14.1%
+860
-243
+875
-335
0
5		-0.33142-0.31120-0.42730
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		29.2%
47.7%		23.1%
+450
-172
+430
-175
0
1		-0.49842-0.50297-0.74051
Strømsgodset
Viking		24.4%
58.1%		17.4%
+335
-135
+315
-140
1
1		-1.47850-1.53192-1.74726
Sarpsborg 08
Sandefjord		35.4%
35.9%		28.6%
+225
+136
+235
+130
0
2		-0.89521-0.88242-1.02351
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.