Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
06/26/2022 04:00 PM	Aalesund Bodo/Glimt	2.1% 93.5%	4.3%	+900 -349 +800 -350	0 2	-0.28261-0.30152	-0.06683
06/25/2022 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Rosenborg	24.7% 51.8%	23.4%	+515 -195 +500 -200	1 3	-0.44211-0.45495	-0.65722
06/25/2022 02:00 PM	Viking Haugesund	42.7% 32.2%	25.1%	+113 +252 +110 +235	2 4	-1.28204-1.25646	-1.13280
06/19/2022 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Viking	18.8% 60.7%	20.5%	+1211 -460 +1150 -500	2 1	-2.60140-2.57571	-1.67291
06/19/2022 04:00 PM	Molde Odd	63.8% 17.2%	19.0%	+118 +233 +115 +220	2 1	-0.79991-0.81577	-0.44915
06/18/2022 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Kristiansund	72.1% 12.7%	15.2%	-162 +440 -165 +400	2 0	-0.50377-0.52249	-0.32766
06/18/2022 02:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sarpsborg 08	27.0% 47.9%	25.1%	+295 -112 +300 -120	1 5	-0.66847-0.65670	-0.73699
05/29/2022 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Molde	41.5% 35.4%	23.2%	+177 +147 +175 +140	1 3	-0.92819-0.92480	-1.03979
05/29/2022 04:00 PM	Aalesund Haugesund	9.8% 75.6%	14.6%	+260 +117 +235 +115	2 2	-1.28703-1.30092	-1.92257
05/28/2022 04:00 PM	Viking Strømsgodset	55.5% 23.1%	21.5%	+125 +212 +115 +220	2 3	-1.17105-1.20992	-1.46690
05/26/2022 06:00 PM	Molde Sarpsborg 08	73.0% 10.7%	16.3%	+136 +189 +135 +180	2 1	-0.88448-0.90259	-0.31425
05/26/2022 04:00 PM	Haugesund Rosenborg	18.6% 59.9%	21.5%	+515 -178 +515 -205	3 3	-1.54613-1.57687	-1.53735
05/25/2022 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Odd	19.6% 59.1%	21.3%	+315 -110 +320 -120	1 0	-1.44668-1.48408	-1.62811
05/25/2022 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Bodo/Glimt	4.2% 88.4%	7.4%	+715 -270 +725 -300	2 2	-1.73841-1.77137	-2.60342
05/22/2022 04:00 PM	Aalesund Sarpsborg 08	11.6% 71.3%	17.0%	+304 -102 +350 -130	2 1	-1.41733-1.55344	-2.14995
05/22/2022 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Haugesund	77.9% 9.1%	13.0%	-122 +347 -130 +340	4 1	-0.62790-0.62146	-0.24950

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.