Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Molde 		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+390
-157

0.75
2.73		3.48
o3½+113
u3½-130

Rosenborg
Brann 		52.4%
23.5%		24.1%
+260
-114

1.69
1.05		2.74
o3-125
u3¼-121

Games for Aug 1, 2026
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rosenborg
Haugesund		50.9%
24.9%		24.2%
+121
+230
+115
+220
1
2		-1.21868-1.21345-1.39155
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund		63.7%
16.1%		20.1%
+238
+120
+210
+120
3
1		-1.23622-1.18123-0.45040
Odd
Sandefjord		49.9%
26.2%		23.9%
+171
+171
+145
+170
3
1		-1.01490-0.94727-0.69581
Viking
Rosenborg		25.9%
50.9%		23.2%
+316
-114
+300
-120
1
4		-0.65078-0.65670-0.67611
Sandefjord
Kristiansund		19.7%
58.7%		21.6%
+355
-129
+390
-155
1
3		-0.59769-0.54666-0.53254
Aalesund
Strømsgodset		14.8%
67.7%		17.4%
+310
-115
+335
-130
2
1		-1.43936-1.52037-1.90784
Molde
Bodo/Glimt		27.2%
51.4%		21.4%
+375
-140
+360
-145
4
1		-1.57654-1.57504-1.30092
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
+141
+195
+135
+195
1
2		-1.10788-1.13082-0.90421
Odd
Aalesund		76.3%
9.7%		14.0%
+288
-102
+260
-105
1
1		-1.35658-1.39659-1.96854
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+700
-266
+650
-275
1
4		-0.34103-0.35750-0.23705
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		30.6%
44.4%		25.0%
+100
+260
-105
+255
2
2		-1.42312-1.41005-1.38605
Aalesund
Rosenborg		4.9%
85.8%		9.4%
+640
-240
+650
-250
1
2		-0.37587-0.38687-0.15368
Molde
Haugesund		70.8%
12.5%		16.8%
-107
+300
-120
+305
1
0		-0.66715-0.65375-0.34564
Sarpsborg 08
Odd		22.4%
53.9%		23.7%
+140
+182
+140
+170
0
1		-1.06404-1.04222-0.61776
Haugesund
Aalesund		68.7%
13.7%		17.6%
+250
+110
+245
+110
2
1		-1.30567-1.28880-0.37541
Molde
Kristiansund		63.8%
17.1%		19.1%
-165
+449
-195
+450
3
2		-0.48470-0.46388-0.44904
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.