Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 17 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/24/2022 04:00 PM	Molde Sandefjord	77.0% 9.0%	13.9%	-163 +425 -160 +370	3 2	-0.50385-0.53466	-0.26098
07/24/2022 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund	28.7% 44.2%	27.0%	+152 +176 +145 +170	1 3	-1.03866-1.04441	-0.81624
07/17/2022 06:00 PM	Rosenborg Aalesund	81.8% 6.7%	11.5%	+150 +194 +140 +190	0 0	-1.29869-1.28844	-2.15978
07/17/2022 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Viking	32.2% 43.4%	24.4%	+565 -222 +610 -245	1 2	-0.39827-0.39202	-0.83358
07/17/2022 04:00 PM	Haugesund Molde	8.9% 77.3%	13.8%	+582 -200 +540 -230	0 1	-0.40498-0.41287	-0.25767
07/09/2022 04:00 PM	Odd Strømsgodset	53.6% 24.0%	22.3%	+290 -111 +320 -130	0 0	-1.41067-1.44774	-1.49942
07/09/2022 02:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Bodo/Glimt	5.6% 84.3%	10.0%	+640 -244 +610 -260	1 4	-0.36622-0.37589	-0.17027
07/03/2022 06:00 PM	Rosenborg Viking	41.4% 33.4%	25.2%	+274 +100 +275 -110	1 1	-1.38450-1.39707	-1.37999
07/03/2022 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08	29.0% 44.0%	27.0%	+625 -254 +625 -275	3 4	-0.36238-0.35879	-0.82153
07/03/2022 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Aalesund	59.1% 20.5%	20.4%	+205 +130 +205 +120	0 1	-0.86391-0.83637	-1.58246
07/02/2022 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Odd	72.1% 12.8%	15.2%	-144 +400 -150 +375	2 3	-1.63030-1.60834	-2.05901
06/26/2022 04:00 PM	Aalesund Bodo/Glimt	2.1% 93.5%	4.3%	+900 -349 +800 -350	0 2	-0.28261-0.30152	-0.06683
06/25/2022 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Rosenborg	24.7% 51.8%	23.4%	+515 -195 +500 -200	1 3	-0.44211-0.45495	-0.65722
06/25/2022 02:00 PM	Viking Haugesund	42.7% 32.2%	25.1%	+113 +252 +110 +235	2 4	-1.28204-1.25646	-1.13280
06/19/2022 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Viking	18.8% 60.7%	20.5%	+1211 -460 +1150 -500	2 1	-2.60140-2.57571	-1.67291
06/19/2022 04:00 PM	Molde Odd	63.8% 17.2%	19.0%	+118 +233 +115 +220	2 1	-0.79991-0.81577	-0.44915

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.