Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Molde
Rosenborg 		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+265
-110

1.85
1.17		3.02
o3-102
u3-118

Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08 		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+235
-105

1.12
1.57		2.69
o3-110
u3-110

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bodo/Glimt
Viking		63.6%
22.0%		14.4%
+133
+181
+125
+180
3
1		-0.87733-0.86123-0.45326
Sandefjord
Mjondalen		39.3%
35.4%		25.2%
+175
+154
+160
+175
1
1		-1.29492-1.24396-1.37662
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		49.9%
26.7%		23.4%
+168
+179
+170
+180
3
1		-1.01545-1.04214-0.69581
Haugesund
Kristiansund		30.2%
46.9%		22.9%
+245
+101
+265
-105
2
3		-0.74743-0.71719-0.75709
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08		32.0%
42.6%		25.5%
+262
+126
+250
+115
0
5		-0.82812-0.81792-0.85440
Strømsgodset
Odd		24.8%
56.4%		18.8%
+261
+103
+250
+100
1
0		-1.33003-1.30726-1.39618
Rosenborg
Viking		41.0%
35.6%		23.4%
+220
+128
+200
+125
1
2		-0.84532-0.86138-1.03282
Molde
Kristiansund		57.2%
24.3%		18.4%
+123
+218
+120
+200
0
2		-1.16967-1.14841-1.41325
Haugesund
Brann		35.7%
39.1%		25.2%
+174
+160
+170
+160
3
1		-1.05157-1.04120-1.03047
Odd
Rosenborg		29.6%
48.1%		22.3%
+385
-145
+380
-150
0
5		-0.55946-0.56173-0.73253
Kristiansund
Bodo/Glimt		17.3%
70.8%		11.8%
+590
-246
+600
-240
0
3		-0.38474-0.39591-0.34509
Brann
Strømsgodset		41.2%
34.7%		24.0%
+282
-110
+275
-110
1
3		-0.68776-0.69888-1.05702
Mjondalen
Stabaek		24.6%
53.3%		22.1%
+210
+136
+220
+140
1
1		-1.24424-1.18185-1.50760
Sandefjord
Brann		30.9%
44.8%		24.3%
+241
+108
+260
+105
2
3		-0.78658-0.76787-0.80236
Molde
Viking		56.5%
25.2%		18.3%
+147
+156
+145
+160
2
3		-0.99058-1.00351-1.37837
Haugesund
Odd		30.2%
47.1%		22.8%
+142
+187
+145
+180
2
4		-1.09300-1.07937-0.75390
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.09016 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.16770
-0.07754

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.