Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+149
+157
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼+100
u3¼-115

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+625
-256
+730
-300
1.00
1.96		2.96
o3-110
u3-109

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+265
-105
+260
-105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-114
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Haugesund
Mjondalen		44.4%
30.2%		25.4%
+144
+225
+150
+195
0
3		-1.21305-1.13202-1.19822
Brann
Kristiansund		28.9%
47.6%		23.5%
+235
+110
+230
+115
2
3		-0.78733-0.81410-0.74253
Molde
Sarpsborg 08		67.2%
18.5%		14.4%
-141
+355
-145
+375
0
1		-1.56556-1.60919-1.68908
Rosenborg
Odd		40.8%
33.9%		25.4%
+165
+163
+175
+155
2
2		-1.27422-1.27247-1.37188
Sandefjord
Stabaek		28.3%
47.5%		24.2%
+210
+131
+205
+130
2
0		-1.17099-1.16632-1.26287
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		18.4%
71.8%		9.8%
+740
-315
+625
-275
2
2		-1.86182-1.77137-2.32207
Odd
Mjondalen		52.1%
26.4%		21.5%
+171
+173
+160
+170
2
1		-1.03280-1.00761-0.65162
Stabaek
Viking		30.6%
45.6%		23.8%
+460
-182
+460
-190
3
3		-1.56657-1.57591-1.43658
Haugesund
Rosenborg		24.9%
54.4%		20.7%
+348
-133
+360
-140
0
0		-1.41985-1.43578-1.57571
Strømsgodset
Molde		12.9%
80.1%		7.0%
+871
-385
+875
-385
0
3		-0.27594-0.27991-0.22192
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord		77.9%
14.5%		7.6%
-108
+320
-105
+265
0
1		-1.45265-1.34623-1.92875
Stabaek
Bodo/Glimt		15.2%
76.2%		8.5%
+1261
-556
+1300
-600
1
4		-0.21010-0.20274-0.27156
Viking
Sarpsborg 08		43.7%
31.3%		25.0%
+290
+105
+270
-105
2
1		-1.38502-1.35973-0.82798
Mjondalen
Kristiansund		22.4%
59.5%		18.1%
+321
-113
+360
-130
1
1		-1.36180-1.35985-1.71153
Brann
Haugesund		32.8%
40.4%		26.7%
+410
-147
+380
-150
0
1		-0.55935-0.56173-0.90518
Sandefjord
Strømsgodset		36.0%
37.9%		26.0%
+326
-122
+320
-135
0
4		-0.62938-0.60925-0.96924
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.