Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Viking
Odd
34.5%
40.7%
24.8%
+108
+262
+100
+260
1
2
-1.31342-1.33139-0.90005
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08
54.1%
21.6%
24.3%
+210
+144
+195
+140
1
1
-1.25832-1.27236-1.41626
Strømsgodset
Haugesund
23.8%
53.3%
22.9%
+215
+135
+215
+130
1
0
-1.18218-1.19690-1.43456
Aalesund
Viking
6.5%
82.9%
10.6%
+640
-221
+600
-250
0
1
-0.39278-0.38833-0.18786
Odd
Rosenborg
24.8%
51.8%
23.3%
+435
-148
+425
-155
0
1
-0.54001-0.54504-0.65772
Molde
Strømsgodset
79.7%
8.0%
12.4%
+155
+170
+125
+200
3
1
-0.96766-0.86138-0.22721
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund
22.5%
53.7%
23.8%
+228
+136
+230
+120
3
2
-1.20367-1.24434-1.49330
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
82.9%
6.6%
10.5%
-125
+391
-130
+375
2
1
-0.60591-0.62269-0.18770
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
13.4%
70.6%
16.0%
+618
-208
+575
-225
2
2
-1.58631-1.60784-1.83015
Sandefjord
Haugesund
25.9%
49.3%
24.8%
+312
+101
+280
+105
3
1
-1.44388-1.38326-1.35046
Kristiansund
Aalesund
76.2%
9.8%
14.1%
+234
+120
+220
+115
0
1
-0.81308-0.81577-2.32790
Viking
Sarpsborg 08
46.5%
28.3%
25.1%
+208
+142
+195
+140
1
0
-1.14747-1.13038-0.76475
Bodo/Glimt
Mjondalen
79.3%
11.5%
9.2%
-175
+474
-200
+525
3
0
-0.47507-0.45319-0.23133
Molde
Haugesund
63.3%
20.1%
16.6%
-119
+280
-120
+275
2
1
-0.64320-0.65514-0.45762
Sarpsborg 08
Brann
32.6%
41.3%
26.1%
+690
-256
+610
-225
1
2
-0.37442-0.41703-0.88361
Stabaek
Odd
31.5%
45.0%
23.5%
+210
+121
+215
+115
1
3
-0.83803-0.81353-0.79895
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.