Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+150
+160
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼+104
u3¼-122

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+640
-260
+730
-300
1.00
1.96		2.96
o3-110
u3-109

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+265
-105
+260
-105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-113
u2¾-105

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Bodo/Glimt		31.6%
47.3%		21.1%
+245
-102
+250
-105
2
0		-1.27018-1.30567-1.15078
Kristiansund
Haugesund		39.6%
34.4%		25.9%
+271
+106
+280
+100
0
3		-0.76258-0.74482-1.06584
Odd
Brann		40.8%
33.3%		25.8%
+265
+109
+245
+110
3
1		-1.32377-1.28880-0.89536
Stabaek
Molde		17.8%
69.3%		12.9%
+770
-303
+800
-320
1
2		-0.33112-0.32223-0.36651
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg		22.6%
57.0%		20.3%
+630
-200
+625
-210
1
0		-2.02034-2.03042-1.48647
Strømsgodset
Mjondalen		36.8%
36.5%		26.7%
+220
+141
+205
+140
1
1		-1.23670-1.22960-1.32081
Viking
Sandefjord		47.4%
29.7%		22.9%
+132
+193
+130
+195
0
3		-1.11673-1.13206-1.21463
Strømsgodset
Bodo/Glimt		10.7%
85.2%		4.1%
+625
-256
+675
-275
2
7		-0.36787-0.36164-0.15959
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		15.1%
73.9%		11.0%
+670
-238
+700
-255
1
4		-0.39019-0.38330-0.30208
Brann
Sarpsborg 08		34.5%
36.7%		28.8%
+235
+126
+210
+130
0
0		-1.26457-1.26330-1.24306
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		57.1%
24.2%		18.7%
+116
+220
+110
+220
1
2		-1.19776-1.21702-1.41878
Mjondalen
Bodo/Glimt		9.3%
86.7%		4.0%
+790
-297
+725
-290
0
2		-0.33162-0.35007-0.14296
Odd
Kristiansund		34.7%
40.2%		25.1%
+282
+106
+290
-105
0
2		-0.75120-0.72194-0.91173
Molde
Sandefjord		71.3%
17.1%		11.6%
-127
+335
-130
+350
3
1		-0.61878-0.62323-0.33857
Viking
Haugesund		41.0%
34.0%		25.0%
+230
+120
+230
+120
2
4		-0.82698-0.83884-1.07887
Strømsgodset
Brann		29.4%
47.1%		23.5%
+240
+110
+220
+110
0
3		-0.78454-0.79582-0.75334
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.