Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bodo/Glimt
Brann 		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+150
+160
+130
+185
3.02
0.94		3.96
o3¼+104
u3¼-122

Haugesund
Rosenborg 		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+700
-270
+730
-300
1.00
1.96		2.96
o3-112
u3-105

Odd
Kristiansund 		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+260
-105
+260
-105
1.32
1.49		2.81
o2¾-113
u2¾-105

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Stabaek
Rosenborg		26.0%
51.9%		22.1%
+650
-230
+620
-230
2
4		-0.39891-0.41517-0.65562
Bodo/Glimt
Odd		65.2%
21.6%		13.2%
-110
+272
-110
+280
0
1		-1.35790-1.38725-1.53141
Molde
Mjondalen		76.4%
14.2%		9.4%
-135
+365
-155
+400
0
0		-1.08080-1.10409-1.11058
Mjondalen
Viking		22.0%
61.1%		16.9%
+336
-120
+340
-130
1
2		-0.63437-0.61828-0.49225
Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt		14.3%
78.2%		7.5%
+578
-213
+600
-245
0
2		-0.41449-0.39393-0.24600
Brann
Stabaek		31.4%
42.2%		26.5%
+197
+136
+195
+130
0
2		-0.89468-0.88317-0.86334
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08		42.2%
31.7%		26.1%
+240
+125
+240
+120
1
0		-1.26277-1.27418-0.86242
Rosenborg
Sandefjord		53.9%
25.2%		21.0%
-109
+336
-120
+350
2
1		-0.67926-0.65815-0.61862
Molde
Rosenborg		48.6%
29.0%		22.4%
+165
+156
+155
+160
3
2		-1.01140-0.98559-0.72140
Strømsgodset
Kristiansund		24.9%
56.5%		18.6%
+270
+104
+285
-105
0
1		-0.74322-0.71756-0.57095
Stabaek
Haugesund		35.1%
37.3%		27.6%
+280
-104
+295
-105
0
0		-1.05606-1.07120-1.01638
Bodo/Glimt
Brann		72.9%
17.0%		10.1%
-137
+370
-160
+375
2
1		-0.57937-0.53491-0.31589
Sarpsborg 08
Odd		27.4%
49.4%		23.2%
+235
+129
+250
+120
1
1		-1.04681-1.07203-1.00035
Brann
Rosenborg		24.0%
55.6%		20.4%
+585
-230
+600
-240
2
3		-0.39747-0.39978-0.58724
Odd
Stabaek		37.7%
35.6%		26.6%
+230
+120
+225
+110
2
2		-1.03356-1.01654-1.00329
Brann
Molde		16.1%
72.6%		11.2%
+870
-345
+850
-350
0
4		-0.30128-0.30251-0.31956
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.