Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Haugesund
Rosenborg
18.6%
59.9%
21.5%
+700
-270
+730
-300
1.00
1.96
2.96
o3-113
u3-105

Odd
Kristiansund
33.3%
41.5%
25.1%
+260
-105
+270
-110
1.32
1.49
2.81
o2¾-113
u2¾-105

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Bodo/Glimt
Brann
78.8%
8.6%
12.7%
+140
+185
+130
+185
3.96
o3-109
u3+102

TIME
HALF
0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
21.9%
63.8%
14.3%
+250
+114
+225
+110
2
2
-1.03340-1.00962-0.98328
Mjondalen
Sandefjord
29.9%
44.8%
25.3%
+200
+161
+180
+165
3
0
-1.12717-1.08028-1.20714
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08
35.6%
35.7%
28.7%
+210
+145
+225
+125
0
0
-1.04786-1.04420-1.03126
Viking
Rosenborg
30.2%
46.9%
22.9%
+414
-152
+400
-165
0
5
-0.53803-0.52751-0.75649
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund
65.2%
21.5%
13.3%
+114
+245
+100
+260
2
0
-0.78785-0.74360-0.42794
Brann
Viking
28.5%
49.2%
22.4%
+230
+111
+225
+110
1
3
-0.78603-0.79125-0.71015
Kristiansund
Molde
20.6%
65.2%
14.2%
+600
-227
+650
-275
0
2
-0.40333-0.36071-0.42707

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73337 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71980 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.07105
-0.33768
-0.35125

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.