Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%


3.00
0.87		3.87


Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		20.9%
60.5%		18.6%
+690
-256
+600
-230
1
4		-0.37253-0.41015-0.50249
Molde
Stabaek		61.1%
21.2%		17.7%
-192
+469
-200
+475
3
0		-0.46429-0.45531-0.49305
Viking
Strømsgodset		50.7%
28.8%		20.5%
+166
+144
+165
+140
1
0		-1.02611-1.02376-0.67830
Odd
Sandefjord		46.7%
30.5%		22.8%
+200
+140
+175
+150
0
0		-1.29197-1.30096-1.47718
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt		12.3%
77.4%		10.4%
+900
-312
+850
-360
1
2		-0.30169-0.29562-0.25645
Mjondalen
Haugesund		26.0%
51.6%		22.4%
+480
-159
+460
-160
0
7		-0.51768-0.53464-0.66149
Stabaek
Brann		37.1%
37.3%		25.6%
+700
-238
+650
-235
1
1		-1.62192-1.58557-1.36145
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		41.7%
34.5%		23.8%
+181
+142
+185
+135
0
1		-0.92958-0.90357-1.06418
Molde
Odd		57.2%
24.4%		18.4%
-107
+269
-115
+255
3
1		-0.70326-0.68443-0.55867
Brann
Mjondalen		43.6%
31.4%		25.0%
+128
+219
+120
+220
1
1		-1.29605-1.31453-1.38725
Bodo/Glimt
Stabaek		68.0%
18.4%		13.6%
-222
+622
-230
+600
3
0		-0.41397-0.41228-0.38556
Sandefjord
Viking		25.4%
54.8%		19.8%
+440
-175
+470
-190
1
2		-0.50215-0.47202-0.60122
Strømsgodset
Stabaek		27.4%
50.9%		21.7%
+111
+242
+110
+220
0
0		-1.37381-1.38557-1.52818
Stabaek
Sandefjord		41.6%
33.4%		24.9%
+400
-155
+395
-160
3
0		-1.65711-1.64813-0.87625
Kristiansund
Brann		41.6%
34.1%		24.3%
+207
+116
+215
+115
1
3		-0.81423-0.81353-1.07537
Odd
Haugesund		40.7%
35.3%		24.0%
+360
-139
+390
-155
3
1		-1.56748-1.63804-0.89818
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66029 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47594
0.18435

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.