Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 17 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/06/2021 05:00 PM	Stabaek Sarpsborg 08	38.3% 35.3%	26.4%	+470 -156 +460 -160	1 4	-0.53198-0.53464	-1.04194
11/06/2021 05:00 PM	Rosenborg Brann	48.5% 28.3%	23.2%	+225 +125 +190 +135	2 2	-1.32848-1.31770	-1.46110
10/28/2021 04:00 PM	Viking Brann	42.9% 33.6%	23.5%	+171 +142 +170 +140	2 0	-1.03485-1.04557	-0.84555
10/27/2021 06:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Molde	41.3% 37.3%	21.4%	+255 -107 +260 -120	2 0	-1.31681-1.33268	-0.88470
10/27/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Haugesund	47.4% 29.4%	23.2%	+158 +174 +145 +175	0 0	-1.29653-1.32931	-1.45947
10/27/2021 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Mjondalen	52.0% 26.4%	21.6%	+109 +240 +110 +230	0 5	-1.27001-1.24573	-1.33181
10/27/2021 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sandefjord	33.5% 43.0%	23.5%	+240 +113 +240 +105	0 2	-0.79520-0.76873	-0.84423
10/24/2021 05:00 PM	Brann Odd	29.1% 48.2%	22.7%	+140 +186 +130 +190	3 3	-1.34025-1.35701	-1.48259
10/24/2021 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Strømsgodset	77.9% 13.2%	8.9%	-135 +330 -140 +310	1 1	-1.49023-1.55235	-2.42295
10/24/2021 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund	27.5% 49.4%	23.0%	+301 -110 +335 -130	3 1	-1.42051-1.52037	-1.29026
10/24/2021 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Rosenborg	20.9% 60.5%	18.6%	+690 -256 +600 -230	1 4	-0.37253-0.41015	-0.50249
10/23/2021 04:00 PM	Molde Stabaek	61.1% 21.2%	17.7%	-192 +469 -200 +475	3 0	-0.46429-0.45531	-0.49305
10/17/2021 03:00 PM	Viking Strømsgodset	50.7% 28.8%	20.5%	+166 +144 +165 +140	1 0	-1.02611-1.02376	-0.67830
10/17/2021 03:00 PM	Odd Sandefjord	46.7% 30.5%	22.8%	+200 +140 +175 +150	0 0	-1.29197-1.30096	-1.47718
10/17/2021 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Bodo/Glimt	12.3% 77.4%	10.4%	+900 -312 +850 -360	1 2	-0.30169-0.29562	-0.25645
10/17/2021 03:00 PM	Mjondalen Haugesund	26.0% 51.6%	22.4%	+480 -159 +460 -160	0 7	-0.51768-0.53464	-0.66149

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.