Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%


3.00
0.87		3.87


Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sandefjord
Brann		30.9%
44.8%		24.3%
+241
+108
+260
+105
2
3		-0.78658-0.76787-0.80236
Molde
Viking		56.5%
25.2%		18.3%
+147
+156
+145
+160
2
3		-0.99058-1.00351-1.37837
Haugesund
Odd		30.2%
47.1%		22.8%
+142
+187
+145
+180
2
4		-1.09300-1.07937-0.75390
Rosenborg
Mjondalen		59.1%
21.4%		19.5%
+106
+261
+105
+265
2
1		-0.76973-0.76819-0.52560
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		30.8%
45.3%		23.9%
+255
+105
+240
+110
0
1		-0.75967-0.79264-0.79261
Stabaek
Kristiansund		31.5%
44.8%		23.7%
+375
-150
+400
-160
1
5		-0.55776-0.53495-0.80223
Sarpsborg 08
Stabaek		30.2%
44.3%		25.5%
+215
+141
+210
+150
1
3		-0.92354-0.96551-0.81425
Kristiansund
Viking		34.8%
42.4%		22.8%
+265
-106
+275
-110
2
3		-0.70591-0.69563-0.85769
Haugesund
Molde		16.4%
69.6%		14.0%
+449
-182
+475
-185
4
5		-0.48414-0.48122-0.36269
Sandefjord
Odd		25.9%
53.6%		20.5%
+270
-105
+285
+100
3
2		-1.36684-1.39647-1.35031
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		28.7%
48.8%		22.5%
+401
-154
+425
-175
1
2		-0.53811-0.50226-0.71760
Stabaek
Mjondalen		46.1%
28.7%		25.1%
+295
-102
+290
+100
2
1		-1.42060-1.41026-0.77360
Mjondalen
Sarpsborg 08		27.5%
47.2%		25.3%
+331
+106
+350
-105
1
1		-1.17509-1.19799-1.37579
Haugesund
Sandefjord		39.1%
34.2%		26.7%
+150
+187
+150
+185
1
1		-1.24410-1.24643-1.32039
Odd
Strømsgodset		49.1%
29.1%		21.9%
+229
+111
+240
+110
0
3		-0.78362-0.79264-1.23608
Stabaek
Strømsgodset		43.5%
31.7%		24.8%
+341
-132
+330
-145
1
2		-0.60510-0.57490-1.14980
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66029 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47594
0.18435

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.