Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 17 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/17/2021 03:00 PM	Stabaek Brann	37.1% 37.3%	25.6%	+700 -238 +650 -235	1 1	-1.62192-1.58557	-1.36145
10/03/2021 06:00 PM	Rosenborg Kristiansund	41.7% 34.5%	23.8%	+181 +142 +185 +135	0 1	-0.92958-0.90357	-1.06418
10/03/2021 04:00 PM	Molde Odd	57.2% 24.4%	18.4%	-107 +269 -115 +255	3 1	-0.70326-0.68443	-0.55867
10/03/2021 04:00 PM	Brann Mjondalen	43.6% 31.4%	25.0%	+128 +219 +120 +220	1 1	-1.29605-1.31453	-1.38725
10/03/2021 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Stabaek	68.0% 18.4%	13.6%	-222 +622 -230 +600	3 0	-0.41397-0.41228	-0.38556
10/02/2021 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Viking	25.4% 54.8%	19.8%	+440 -175 +470 -190	1 2	-0.50215-0.47202	-0.60122
09/29/2021 05:00 PM	Strømsgodset Stabaek	27.4% 50.9%	21.7%	+111 +242 +110 +220	0 0	-1.37381-1.38557	-1.52818
09/26/2021 04:00 PM	Stabaek Sandefjord	41.6% 33.4%	24.9%	+400 -155 +395 -160	3 0	-1.65711-1.64813	-0.87625
09/26/2021 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Brann	41.6% 34.1%	24.3%	+207 +116 +215 +115	1 3	-0.81423-0.81353	-1.07537
09/26/2021 04:00 PM	Odd Haugesund	40.7% 35.3%	24.0%	+360 -139 +390 -155	3 1	-1.56748-1.63804	-0.89818
09/26/2021 04:00 PM	Viking Molde	21.0% 63.5%	15.5%	+610 -273 +580 -260	2 2	-1.80205-1.75458	-1.86439
09/26/2021 04:00 PM	Mjondalen Rosenborg	17.6% 65.5%	16.9%	+900 -345 +825 -295	1 3	-0.30112-0.34167	-0.42274
09/25/2021 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Strømsgodset	39.1% 36.0%	24.9%	+247 +109 +265 +100	0 5	-0.77916-0.74360	-1.02193
09/19/2021 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Viking	63.6% 22.0%	14.4%	+133 +181 +125 +180	3 1	-0.87733-0.86123	-0.45326
09/19/2021 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Mjondalen	39.3% 35.4%	25.2%	+175 +154 +160 +175	1 1	-1.29492-1.24396	-1.37662
09/19/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08	49.9% 26.7%	23.4%	+168 +179 +170 +180	3 1	-1.01545-1.04214	-0.69581

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.