Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%


3.00
0.87		3.87


Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sandefjord
Kristiansund		25.9%
53.3%		20.8%
+350
-118
+340
-125
0
2		-0.64354-0.63951-0.62959
Mjondalen
Brann		26.6%
49.9%		23.4%
+280
+109
+290
+100
1
1		-1.27769-1.27307-1.45158
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08		74.3%
15.9%		9.8%
+116
+251
+120
+230
2
2		-1.27748-1.27418-2.32647
Viking
Odd		35.6%
39.6%		24.8%
+282
+116
+270
-110
2
3		-0.75109-0.69589-0.92566
Odd
Molde		20.6%
65.2%		14.1%
+860
-243
+875
-335
0
5		-0.33142-0.31120-0.42730
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		29.2%
47.7%		23.1%
+450
-172
+430
-175
0
1		-0.49842-0.50297-0.74051
Strømsgodset
Viking		24.4%
58.1%		17.4%
+335
-135
+315
-140
1
1		-1.47850-1.53192-1.74726
Sarpsborg 08
Sandefjord		35.4%
35.9%		28.6%
+225
+136
+235
+130
0
2		-0.89521-0.88242-1.02351
Haugesund
Mjondalen		44.4%
30.2%		25.4%
+144
+225
+150
+195
0
3		-1.21305-1.13202-1.19822
Brann
Kristiansund		28.9%
47.6%		23.5%
+235
+110
+230
+115
2
3		-0.78733-0.81410-0.74253
Molde
Sarpsborg 08		67.2%
18.5%		14.4%
-141
+355
-145
+375
0
1		-1.56556-1.60919-1.68908
Rosenborg
Odd		40.8%
33.9%		25.4%
+165
+163
+175
+155
2
2		-1.27422-1.27247-1.37188
Sandefjord
Stabaek		28.3%
47.5%		24.2%
+210
+131
+205
+130
2
0		-1.17099-1.16632-1.26287
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		18.4%
71.8%		9.8%
+740
-315
+625
-275
2
2		-1.86182-1.77137-2.32207
Odd
Mjondalen		52.1%
26.4%		21.5%
+171
+173
+160
+170
2
1		-1.03280-1.00761-0.65162
Stabaek
Viking		30.6%
45.6%		23.8%
+460
-182
+460
-190
3
3		-1.56657-1.57591-1.43658
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66029 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47594
0.18435

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.