Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 17 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/18/2021 04:00 PM	Haugesund Kristiansund	30.2% 46.9%	22.9%	+245 +101 +265 -105	2 3	-0.74743-0.71719	-0.75709
08/29/2021 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08	32.0% 42.6%	25.5%	+262 +126 +250 +115	0 5	-0.82812-0.81792	-0.85440
08/29/2021 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Odd	24.8% 56.4%	18.8%	+261 +103 +250 +100	1 0	-1.33003-1.30726	-1.39618
08/29/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Viking	41.0% 35.6%	23.4%	+220 +128 +200 +125	1 2	-0.84532-0.86138	-1.03282
08/29/2021 04:00 PM	Molde Kristiansund	57.2% 24.3%	18.4%	+123 +218 +120 +200	0 2	-1.16967-1.14841	-1.41325
08/28/2021 06:00 PM	Haugesund Brann	35.7% 39.1%	25.2%	+174 +160 +170 +160	3 1	-1.05157-1.04120	-1.03047
08/22/2021 06:00 PM	Odd Rosenborg	29.6% 48.1%	22.3%	+385 -145 +380 -150	0 5	-0.55946-0.56173	-0.73253
08/22/2021 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Bodo/Glimt	17.3% 70.8%	11.8%	+590 -246 +600 -240	0 3	-0.38474-0.39591	-0.34509
08/21/2021 06:00 PM	Brann Strømsgodset	41.2% 34.7%	24.0%	+282 -110 +275 -110	1 3	-0.68776-0.69888	-1.05702
08/21/2021 04:00 PM	Mjondalen Stabaek	24.6% 53.3%	22.1%	+210 +136 +220 +140	1 1	-1.24424-1.18185	-1.50760
08/15/2021 06:00 PM	Sandefjord Brann	30.9% 44.8%	24.3%	+241 +108 +260 +105	2 3	-0.78658-0.76787	-0.80236
08/15/2021 04:00 PM	Molde Viking	56.5% 25.2%	18.3%	+147 +156 +145 +160	2 3	-0.99058-1.00351	-1.37837
08/15/2021 04:00 PM	Haugesund Odd	30.2% 47.1%	22.8%	+142 +187 +145 +180	2 4	-1.09300-1.07937	-0.75390
08/15/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Mjondalen	59.1% 21.4%	19.5%	+106 +261 +105 +265	2 1	-0.76973-0.76819	-0.52560
08/14/2021 06:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sarpsborg 08	30.8% 45.3%	23.9%	+255 +105 +240 +110	0 1	-0.75967-0.79264	-0.79261
08/14/2021 04:00 PM	Stabaek Kristiansund	31.5% 44.8%	23.7%	+375 -150 +400 -160	1 5	-0.55776-0.53495	-0.80223

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.