Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sarpsborg 08
Stabaek
30.2%
44.3%
25.5%
+215
+141
+210
+150
1
3
-0.92354-0.96551-0.81425
Kristiansund
Viking
34.8%
42.4%
22.8%
+265
-106
+275
-110
2
3
-0.70591-0.69563-0.85769
Haugesund
Molde
16.4%
69.6%
14.0%
+449
-182
+475
-185
4
5
-0.48414-0.48122-0.36269
Sandefjord
Odd
25.9%
53.6%
20.5%
+270
-105
+285
+100
3
2
-1.36684-1.39647-1.35031
Strømsgodset
Haugesund
28.7%
48.8%
22.5%
+401
-154
+425
-175
1
2
-0.53811-0.50226-0.71760
Stabaek
Mjondalen
46.1%
28.7%
25.1%
+295
-102
+290
+100
2
1
-1.42060-1.41026-0.77360
Mjondalen
Sarpsborg 08
27.5%
47.2%
25.3%
+331
+106
+350
-105
1
1
-1.17509-1.19799-1.37579
Haugesund
Sandefjord
39.1%
34.2%
26.7%
+150
+187
+150
+185
1
1
-1.24410-1.24643-1.32039
Odd
Strømsgodset
49.1%
29.1%
21.9%
+229
+111
+240
+110
0
3
-0.78362-0.79264-1.23608
Stabaek
Strømsgodset
43.5%
31.7%
24.8%
+341
-132
+330
-145
1
2
-0.60510-0.57490-1.14980
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
25.9%
53.3%
20.8%
+350
-118
+340
-125
0
2
-0.64354-0.63951-0.62959
Mjondalen
Brann
26.6%
49.9%
23.4%
+280
+109
+290
+100
1
1
-1.27769-1.27307-1.45158
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08
74.3%
15.9%
9.8%
+116
+251
+120
+230
2
2
-1.27748-1.27418-2.32647
Viking
Odd
35.6%
39.6%
24.8%
+282
+116
+270
-110
2
3
-0.75109-0.69589-0.92566
Odd
Molde
20.6%
65.2%
14.1%
+860
-243
+875
-335
0
5
-0.33142-0.31120-0.42730
Kristiansund
Rosenborg
29.2%
47.7%
23.1%
+450
-172
+430
-175
0
1
-0.49842-0.50297-0.74051
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.