Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/10/2021 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Viking	24.4% 58.1%	17.4%	+335 -135 +315 -140	1 1	-1.47850-1.53192	-1.74726
07/10/2021 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord	35.4% 35.9%	28.6%	+225 +136 +235 +130	0 2	-0.89521-0.88242	-1.02351
07/10/2021 04:00 PM	Haugesund Mjondalen	44.4% 30.2%	25.4%	+144 +225 +150 +195	0 3	-1.21305-1.13202	-1.19822
07/05/2021 05:00 PM	Brann Kristiansund	28.9% 47.6%	23.5%	+235 +110 +230 +115	2 3	-0.78733-0.81410	-0.74253
07/04/2021 04:00 PM	Molde Sarpsborg 08	67.2% 18.5%	14.4%	-141 +355 -145 +375	0 1	-1.56556-1.60919	-1.68908
07/04/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Odd	40.8% 33.9%	25.4%	+165 +163 +175 +155	2 2	-1.27422-1.27247	-1.37188
07/04/2021 01:00 PM	Sandefjord Stabaek	28.3% 47.5%	24.2%	+210 +131 +205 +130	2 0	-1.17099-1.16632	-1.26287
07/03/2021 01:00 PM	Viking Bodo/Glimt	18.4% 71.8%	9.8%	+740 -315 +625 -275	2 2	-1.86182-1.77137	-2.32207
07/01/2021 04:00 PM	Odd Mjondalen	52.1% 26.4%	21.5%	+171 +173 +160 +170	2 1	-1.03280-1.00761	-0.65162
06/30/2021 04:00 PM	Stabaek Viking	30.6% 45.6%	23.8%	+460 -182 +460 -190	3 3	-1.56657-1.57591	-1.43658
06/30/2021 04:00 PM	Haugesund Rosenborg	24.9% 54.4%	20.7%	+348 -133 +360 -140	0 0	-1.41985-1.43578	-1.57571
06/30/2021 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Molde	12.9% 80.1%	7.0%	+871 -385 +875 -385	0 3	-0.27594-0.27991	-0.22192
06/30/2021 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sandefjord	77.9% 14.5%	7.6%	-108 +320 -105 +265	0 1	-1.45265-1.34623	-1.92875
06/27/2021 04:00 PM	Stabaek Bodo/Glimt	15.2% 76.2%	8.5%	+1261 -556 +1300 -600	1 4	-0.21010-0.20274	-0.27156
06/25/2021 04:00 PM	Viking Sarpsborg 08	43.7% 31.3%	25.0%	+290 +105 +270 -105	2 1	-1.38502-1.35973	-0.82798
06/24/2021 04:00 PM	Mjondalen Kristiansund	22.4% 59.5%	18.1%	+321 -113 +360 -130	1 1	-1.36180-1.35985	-1.71153

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.