Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%


3.00
0.87		3.87


Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		15.1%
73.9%		11.0%
+670
-238
+700
-255
1
4		-0.39019-0.38330-0.30208
Brann
Sarpsborg 08		34.5%
36.7%		28.8%
+235
+126
+210
+130
0
0		-1.26457-1.26330-1.24306
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		57.1%
24.2%		18.7%
+116
+220
+110
+220
1
2		-1.19776-1.21702-1.41878
Mjondalen
Bodo/Glimt		9.3%
86.7%		4.0%
+790
-297
+725
-290
0
2		-0.33162-0.35007-0.14296
Odd
Kristiansund		34.7%
40.2%		25.1%
+282
+106
+290
-105
0
2		-0.75120-0.72194-0.91173
Molde
Sandefjord		71.3%
17.1%		11.6%
-127
+335
-130
+350
3
1		-0.61878-0.62323-0.33857
Viking
Haugesund		41.0%
34.0%		25.0%
+230
+120
+230
+120
2
4		-0.82698-0.83884-1.07887
Strømsgodset
Brann		29.4%
47.1%		23.5%
+240
+110
+220
+110
0
3		-0.78454-0.79582-0.75334
Stabaek
Rosenborg		26.0%
51.9%		22.1%
+650
-230
+620
-230
2
4		-0.39891-0.41517-0.65562
Bodo/Glimt
Odd		65.2%
21.6%		13.2%
-110
+272
-110
+280
0
1		-1.35790-1.38725-1.53141
Molde
Mjondalen		76.4%
14.2%		9.4%
-135
+365
-155
+400
0
0		-1.08080-1.10409-1.11058
Mjondalen
Viking		22.0%
61.1%		16.9%
+336
-120
+340
-130
1
2		-0.63437-0.61828-0.49225
Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt		14.3%
78.2%		7.5%
+578
-213
+600
-245
0
2		-0.41449-0.39393-0.24600
Brann
Stabaek		31.4%
42.2%		26.5%
+197
+136
+195
+130
0
2		-0.89468-0.88317-0.86334
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08		42.2%
31.7%		26.1%
+240
+125
+240
+120
1
0		-1.26277-1.27418-0.86242
Rosenborg
Sandefjord		53.9%
25.2%		21.0%
-109
+336
-120
+350
2
1		-0.67926-0.65815-0.61862
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66029 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47594
0.18435

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.