Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%


3.00
0.87		3.87


Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Rosenborg		48.6%
29.0%		22.4%
+165
+156
+155
+160
3
2		-1.01140-0.98559-0.72140
Strømsgodset
Kristiansund		24.9%
56.5%		18.6%
+270
+104
+285
-105
0
1		-0.74322-0.71756-0.57095
Stabaek
Haugesund		35.1%
37.3%		27.6%
+280
-104
+295
-105
0
0		-1.05606-1.07120-1.01638
Bodo/Glimt
Brann		72.9%
17.0%		10.1%
-137
+370
-160
+375
2
1		-0.57937-0.53491-0.31589
Sarpsborg 08
Odd		27.4%
49.4%		23.2%
+235
+129
+250
+120
1
1		-1.04681-1.07203-1.00035
Brann
Rosenborg		24.0%
55.6%		20.4%
+585
-230
+600
-240
2
3		-0.39747-0.39978-0.58724
Odd
Stabaek		37.7%
35.6%		26.6%
+230
+120
+225
+110
2
2		-1.03356-1.01654-1.00329
Brann
Molde		16.1%
72.6%		11.2%
+870
-345
+850
-350
0
4		-0.30128-0.30251-0.31956
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		21.9%
63.8%		14.3%
+250
+114
+225
+110
2
2		-1.03340-1.00962-0.98328
Mjondalen
Sandefjord		29.9%
44.8%		25.3%
+200
+161
+180
+165
3
0		-1.12717-1.08028-1.20714
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08		35.6%
35.7%		28.7%
+210
+145
+225
+125
0
0		-1.04786-1.04420-1.03126
Viking
Rosenborg		30.2%
46.9%		22.9%
+414
-152
+400
-165
0
5		-0.53803-0.52751-0.75649
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund		65.2%
21.5%		13.3%
+114
+245
+100
+260
2
0		-0.78785-0.74360-0.42794
Brann
Viking		28.5%
49.2%		22.4%
+230
+111
+225
+110
1
3		-0.78603-0.79125-0.71015
Kristiansund
Molde		20.6%
65.2%		14.2%
+600
-227
+650
-275
0
2		-0.40333-0.36071-0.42707

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66029 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47594
0.18435

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.