Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Brann
Haugesund
32.8%
40.4%
26.7%
+410
-147
+380
-150
0
1
-0.55935-0.56173-0.90518
Sandefjord
Strømsgodset
36.0%
37.9%
26.0%
+326
-122
+320
-135
0
4
-0.62938-0.60925-0.96924
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
31.6%
47.3%
21.1%
+245
-102
+250
-105
2
0
-1.27018-1.30567-1.15078
Kristiansund
Haugesund
39.6%
34.4%
25.9%
+271
+106
+280
+100
0
3
-0.76258-0.74482-1.06584
Odd
Brann
40.8%
33.3%
25.8%
+265
+109
+245
+110
3
1
-1.32377-1.28880-0.89536
Stabaek
Molde
17.8%
69.3%
12.9%
+770
-303
+800
-320
1
2
-0.33112-0.32223-0.36651
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg
22.6%
57.0%
20.3%
+630
-200
+625
-210
1
0
-2.02034-2.03042-1.48647
Strømsgodset
Mjondalen
36.8%
36.5%
26.7%
+220
+141
+205
+140
1
1
-1.23670-1.22960-1.32081
Viking
Sandefjord
47.4%
29.7%
22.9%
+132
+193
+130
+195
0
3
-1.11673-1.13206-1.21463
Strømsgodset
Bodo/Glimt
10.7%
85.2%
4.1%
+625
-256
+675
-275
2
7
-0.36787-0.36164-0.15959
Sarpsborg 08
Molde
15.1%
73.9%
11.0%
+670
-238
+700
-255
1
4
-0.39019-0.38330-0.30208
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
34.5%
36.7%
28.8%
+235
+126
+210
+130
0
0
-1.26457-1.26330-1.24306
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset
57.1%
24.2%
18.7%
+116
+220
+110
+220
1
2
-1.19776-1.21702-1.41878
Mjondalen
Bodo/Glimt
9.3%
86.7%
4.0%
+790
-297
+725
-290
0
2
-0.33162-0.35007-0.14296
Odd
Kristiansund
34.7%
40.2%
25.1%
+282
+106
+290
-105
0
2
-0.75120-0.72194-0.91173
Molde
Sandefjord
71.3%
17.1%
11.6%
-127
+335
-130
+350
3
1
-0.61878-0.62323-0.33857
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.