Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/30/2021 06:00 PM	Viking Haugesund	41.0% 34.0%	25.0%	+230 +120 +230 +120	2 4	-0.82698-0.83884	-1.07887
05/30/2021 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Brann	29.4% 47.1%	23.5%	+240 +110 +220 +110	0 3	-0.78454-0.79582	-0.75334
05/30/2021 04:00 PM	Stabaek Rosenborg	26.0% 51.9%	22.1%	+650 -230 +620 -230	2 4	-0.39891-0.41517	-0.65562
05/30/2021 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Odd	65.2% 21.6%	13.2%	-110 +272 -110 +280	0 1	-1.35790-1.38725	-1.53141
05/30/2021 01:00 PM	Molde Mjondalen	76.4% 14.2%	9.4%	-135 +365 -155 +400	0 0	-1.08080-1.10409	-1.11058
05/27/2021 04:00 PM	Mjondalen Viking	22.0% 61.1%	16.9%	+336 -120 +340 -130	1 2	-0.63437-0.61828	-0.49225
05/27/2021 04:00 PM	Haugesund Bodo/Glimt	14.3% 78.2%	7.5%	+578 -213 +600 -245	0 2	-0.41449-0.39393	-0.24600
05/27/2021 04:00 PM	Brann Stabaek	31.4% 42.2%	26.5%	+197 +136 +195 +130	0 2	-0.89468-0.88317	-0.86334
05/27/2021 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08	42.2% 31.7%	26.1%	+240 +125 +240 +120	1 0	-1.26277-1.27418	-0.86242
05/27/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Sandefjord	53.9% 25.2%	21.0%	-109 +336 -120 +350	2 1	-0.67926-0.65815	-0.61862
05/24/2021 06:00 PM	Molde Rosenborg	48.6% 29.0%	22.4%	+165 +156 +155 +160	3 2	-1.01140-0.98559	-0.72140
05/24/2021 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Kristiansund	24.9% 56.5%	18.6%	+270 +104 +285 -105	0 1	-0.74322-0.71756	-0.57095
05/24/2021 04:00 PM	Stabaek Haugesund	35.1% 37.3%	27.6%	+280 -104 +295 -105	0 0	-1.05606-1.07120	-1.01638
05/24/2021 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Brann	72.9% 17.0%	10.1%	-137 +370 -160 +375	2 1	-0.57937-0.53491	-0.31589
05/24/2021 01:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Odd	27.4% 49.4%	23.2%	+235 +129 +250 +120	1 1	-1.04681-1.07203	-1.00035
05/20/2021 06:30 PM	Brann Rosenborg	24.0% 55.6%	20.4%	+585 -230 +600 -240	2 3	-0.39747-0.39978	-0.58724

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.