Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Viking
63.0%
18.0%
19.0%
+360
-152

0
1
-0.55731-1.71747
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset
38.8%
34.3%
27.0%
+185
+140

1
2
-0.89595-1.07105
Haugesund
Kristiansund
25.8%
50.1%
24.0%
+825
-250

0
2
-0.33276-0.69025
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg
62.2%
18.7%
19.0%
+100
+235

1
1
-1.43368-1.65889
Brann
Sandefjord
38.2%
34.3%
27.5%
+102
+230

3
0
-0.75006-0.96341
Rosenborg
Haugesund
50.9%
24.9%
24.2%
-238
+570

3
0
-0.39906-0.67544
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08
29.0%
44.0%
27.0%
+197
+115

1
2
-0.81303-0.82153
Kristiansund
Bodo/Glimt
8.9%
78.7%
12.4%
+1300
-625

1
7
-0.19572-0.23984
Molde
Strømsgodset
79.7%
8.0%
12.4%
-112
+260

1
3
-1.32969-2.53099
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
82.9%
6.6%
10.5%
-192
+420

2
1
-0.46983-0.18770
Rosenborg
Viking
41.4%
33.4%
25.2%
+245
-105

1
2
-0.72586-1.09599
Brann
Kristiansund
24.4%
51.7%
23.9%
-135
+340

2
2
-1.43675-1.43292
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08
44.6%
29.2%
26.2%
+310
-132

1
0
-1.45034-0.80788
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
19.7%
58.7%
21.6%
+111
+210

2
2
-1.42221-1.53382
Bodo/Glimt
Strømsgodset
85.0%
5.8%
9.2%
-290
+650

5
0
-0.34730-0.16275
Viking
Sandefjord
51.5%
25.2%
23.2%
+150
+157

2
1
-0.95769-0.66306
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.