Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08		29.0%
44.0%		27.0%
+250
-105
+245
-110
1
2		-0.70170-0.69443-0.82153
Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt		6.5%
83.1%		10.5%
+1000
-450
+1000
-450
2
4		-0.25132-0.25132-0.18534
Molde
Viking		63.0%
18.0%		19.0%
+147
+159
+145
+165
0
1		-1.00111-1.02544-1.71747
Strømsgodset
Odd		17.7%
62.8%		19.5%
+135
+185
+125
+190
0
2		-1.08613-1.11581-0.46566
Haugesund
Sandefjord		40.2%
33.1%		26.7%
+250
+111
+245
+105
3
4		-0.76589-0.76819-1.10612
Viking
Haugesund		42.7%
32.2%		25.1%
+100
+250
+100
+255
0
1		-1.30726-1.31759-1.13280
Brann
Sarpsborg 08		34.0%
37.2%		28.9%
-119
+265
-120
+270
1
1		-1.51631-1.50575-1.24292
Odd
Bodo/Glimt		8.9%
78.7%		12.3%
+1250
-575
+1200
-575
1
3		-0.20854-0.21272-0.23972
Haugesund
Brann		33.9%
38.7%		27.4%
+810
-333
+950
-390
1
1		-1.80795-1.86879-1.29572
Kristiansund
Viking		32.2%
43.4%		24.4%
+560
-265
+575
-270
0
2		-0.36892-0.36557-0.83358
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord		82.9%
6.6%		10.5%
-170
+400
-220
+500
1
2		-1.65538-1.84074-2.72129
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
+185
+125
+200
+120
1
4		-0.85828-0.83822-1.53280
Sandefjord
Strømsgodset		35.5%
38.4%		26.1%
+310
-120
+290
-120
1
1		-1.41919-1.43687-1.34508
Odd
Rosenborg		24.8%
51.8%		23.3%
+370
-157
+370
-155
1
2		-0.54251-0.54711-0.65772
Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund		28.7%
44.2%		27.0%
+172
+155
+190
+135
2
1		-1.04911-1.11544-1.24712
Brann
Bodo/Glimt		6.1%
83.7%		10.2%
+305
-115
+300
-120
1
5		-0.66512-0.65670-0.17813
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.