Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rosenborg
Viking		41.4%
33.4%		25.2%
+360
-152
+345
-150
2
4		-0.55227-0.56151-1.09599
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%
-165
+395
-165
+390
2
1		-0.51960-0.52394-0.22591
Kristiansund
Odd		33.1%
41.8%		25.1%
+230
+110
+235
+105
1
1		-1.37650-1.38330-1.38186
Strømsgodset
Brann		25.1%
51.0%		23.8%
+700
-280
+680
-290
0
0		-1.79866-1.77190-1.43372
Bodo/Glimt
Haugesund		77.9%
9.1%		13.0%
-160
+400
-165
+395
1
0		-0.52979-0.52442-0.24950
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund		22.5%
53.7%		23.8%
+168
+155
+160
+155
1
3		-0.97825-0.98559-0.62174
Odd
Strømsgodset		53.6%
24.0%		22.3%
+385
-150
+400
-165
1
1		-1.45985-1.52138-1.49942
Viking
Molde		12.8%
71.2%		16.0%
+340
-140
+340
-145
2
2		-1.49183-1.50896-1.83196
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt		4.7%
86.8%		8.5%
+950
-360
+860
-380
1
1		-1.88981-1.90039-2.46852
Kristiansund
Brann		42.4%
31.6%		26.0%
+1200
-575
+1250
-580
1
2		-0.20912-0.20977-1.15287
Molde
Brann		71.8%
11.7%		16.5%
+320
-130
+320
-135
3
1		-1.47565-1.48722-0.33092
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+199
+121
+205
+120
3
1		-1.14416-1.16305-1.30837
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		24.7%
51.8%		23.4%
+425
-170
+440
-185
1
2		-0.50408-0.48031-0.65722
Sandefjord
Haugesund		25.9%
49.3%		24.8%
+222
+120
+215
+120
1
2		-0.83649-0.83704-0.70698
Brann
Kristiansund		24.4%
51.7%		23.9%
-235
+625
-225
+575
2
2		-1.64000-1.60784-1.43292
Haugesund
Strømsgodset		43.9%
31.0%		25.1%
+287
-105
+320
-120
0
2		-0.71052-0.65514-1.17012
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.