Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rosenborg
Viking 		41.4%
33.4%		25.2%
+520
-238

1.49
1.31		2.80
o3-120
u3¼-129

Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		30.6%
44.4%		25.0%
+225
+110

2
3		-0.78143-0.81168
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
-150
+350

1
0		-0.55431-1.06068
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		13.4%
70.6%		16.0%
+380
-160

0
4		-0.53524-0.34847
Haugesund
Rosenborg		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+1450
-625

0
1		-0.19441-0.51259
Kristiansund
Molde		12.2%
71.7%		16.0%
+620
-250

1
0		-2.01853-2.10201
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		30.0%
42.2%		27.8%
+320
-130

2
2		-1.46642-1.28129
Sandefjord
Viking		18.8%
60.7%		20.5%
+380
-159

1
3		-0.53142-0.49877
Viking
Haugesund		42.7%
32.2%		25.1%
-180
+420

4
1		-0.48235-0.85067
Rosenborg
Brann		52.4%
23.5%		24.1%
+175
+145

0
0		-1.32931-1.42321
Kristiansund
Strømsgodset		53.5%
24.1%		22.4%
+460
-190

2
1		-1.76826-0.62639
Sarpsborg 08
Viking		21.5%
55.8%		22.7%
+340
-154

0
0		-1.59283-1.48263
Haugesund
Molde		8.9%
77.3%		13.8%
+900
-400

1
2		-0.28141-0.25767
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		24.7%
51.8%		23.4%
+730
-303

1
1		-1.75747-1.45154
Haugesund
Viking		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+900
-385

1
5		-0.27097-0.65101
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+330
-128

3
2		-1.50467-1.30837
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+350
-120

0
0		-1.40381-1.47894
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44337 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.96070
-0.51733

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.