Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 18 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/27/2025 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sarpsborg 08	27.0% 47.9%	25.1%	+330 -128	3 2	-1.50467	-1.30837
04/27/2025 12:30 PM	Molde Rosenborg	53.0% 24.2%	22.8%	+350 -120	0 0	-1.40381	-1.47894
04/21/2025 05:15 PM	Bodo/Glimt Molde	41.5% 35.4%	23.2%	+116 +225	2 2	-1.33842	-1.46179
04/21/2025 03:00 PM	Brann Strømsgodset	41.7% 32.4%	25.9%	+120 +210	2 1	-0.84190	-0.87361
04/10/2025 05:00 PM	Strømsgodset Brann	25.1% 51.0%	23.8%	+440 -175	1 2	-0.51539	-0.67270
04/10/2025 05:00 PM	Kristiansund Viking	32.2% 43.4%	24.4%	+575 -250	1 3	-0.40087	-0.83358
04/06/2025 03:00 PM	Molde Sandefjord	77.0% 9.0%	13.9%	+105 +240	0 3	-1.28920	-2.40417
04/06/2025 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Haugesund	23.8% 53.3%	22.9%	+100 +270	5 0	-0.75967	-1.43456
03/30/2025 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Molde	7.7% 78.9%	13.4%	+500 -215	2 0	-1.86072	-2.56759
03/29/2025 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Strømsgodset	63.2% 17.1%	19.7%	+115 +215	2 1	-0.83540	-0.45910
12/01/2024 04:00 PM	Odd Haugesund	41.0% 33.1%	25.8%	+285 -116 +305 -125	1 2	-0.67041-0.63597	-1.10558
12/01/2024 04:00 PM	Molde Strømsgodset	79.7% 8.0%	12.4%	-123 +310 -135 +325	0 1	-1.44962-1.49642	-2.53099
12/01/2024 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Kristiansund	42.5% 32.0%	25.5%	-169 +420 -170 +400	4 0	-0.50670-0.51318	-0.85614
12/01/2024 04:00 PM	Viking Brann	44.3% 30.6%	25.0%	+295 -130 +300 -135	1 1	-1.52625-1.53206	-1.38470
11/23/2024 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg	16.1% 62.6%	21.3%	+430 -185 +440 -190	1 1	-1.60530-1.60774	-1.54534
11/23/2024 04:00 PM	Brann Molde	8.3% 78.1%	13.6%	+215 +121 +200 +120	1 2	-0.82556-0.83822	-0.24772

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.