Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 16 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
06/30/2025 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Brann	27.2% 47.1%	25.7%	+360 -155	0 1	-0.54421	-0.75235
06/29/2025 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Bodo/Glimt	5.6% 84.3%	10.0%	+900 -417	2 1	-2.35283	-2.87991
06/29/2025 12:30 PM	Kristiansund Haugesund	40.9% 33.2%	26.0%	+110 +220	0 0	-1.39534	-1.34854
06/28/2025 04:00 PM	Viking Rosenborg	25.9% 50.9%	23.2%	+160 +145	1 1	-1.33876	-1.46059
06/22/2025 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Kristiansund	42.5% 32.0%	25.5%	+111 +220	1 4	-1.20828	-1.13925
06/22/2025 03:00 PM	Haugesund Sandefjord	40.2% 33.1%	26.7%	+640 -278	0 4	-0.35836	-1.10612
06/21/2025 04:00 PM	Brann Bodo/Glimt	6.1% 83.7%	10.2%	+500 -225	0 3	-0.42888	-0.17813
06/01/2025 05:15 PM	Viking Molde	12.8% 71.2%	16.0%	+140 +169	1 0	-0.92248	-2.05377
06/01/2025 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Haugesund	77.9% 9.1%	13.0%	-476 +1050	4 0	-0.23981	-0.24950
06/01/2025 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Brann	42.4% 31.6%	26.0%	+600 -256	2 4	-0.37583	-1.15287
05/29/2025 04:00 PM	Molde Brann	71.8% 11.7%	16.5%	+320 -130	3 0	-1.49308	-0.33092
05/28/2025 07:00 PM	Viking Bodo/Glimt	9.4% 78.2%	12.4%	+610 -278	4 2	-2.01350	-2.36883
05/25/2025 05:15 PM	Brann Haugesund	31.0% 42.2%	26.8%	-250 +580	2 0	-0.38874	-1.17005
05/25/2025 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sandefjord	30.6% 44.4%	25.0%	+225 +110	2 3	-0.78143	-0.81168
05/25/2025 03:00 PM	Viking Kristiansund	34.6% 40.5%	24.9%	-150 +350	1 0	-0.55431	-1.06068
05/24/2025 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Bodo/Glimt	13.4% 70.6%	16.0%	+380 -160	0 4	-0.53524	-0.34847

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.