Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-106
u3¼-112

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bodo/Glimt
Brann		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+295
-125
+250
-110
2
4		-0.62772-0.69587-2.45854
Molde
Sarpsborg 08		73.0%
10.7%		16.3%
+175
+130
+185
+120
3
1		-1.05022-1.09548-0.31425
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg		12.3%
71.0%		16.7%
+270
-110
+275
-115
3
1		-1.34908-1.37200-2.09818
Sandefjord
Stabaek		23.9%
51.6%		24.5%
+285
-110
+265
-105
1
2		-0.68900-0.71719-0.66233
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt		2.1%
93.5%		4.3%
+2000
-1100
+1750
-1150
0
1		-0.13522-0.13603-0.06683
Sarpsborg 08
Viking		21.5%
55.8%		22.7%
+255
-120
+255
-125
1
2		-0.64440-0.63875-0.58404
Rosenborg
Sandefjord		59.3%
18.9%		21.7%
+223
+120
+210
+110
2
3		-0.80249-0.79257-1.66368
Brann
Haugesund		31.0%
42.2%		26.8%
-120
+310
-125
+315
2
0		-0.65216-0.63936-1.17005
Sandefjord
Aalesund		61.1%
18.6%		20.3%
+220
+108
+220
+110
3
0		-1.21164-1.21369-0.49272
Odd
Brann		42.6%
31.5%		25.9%
+1600
-720
+1600
-750
1
2		-0.17186-0.17496-1.15499
Bodo/Glimt
Stabaek		75.8%
10.1%		14.0%
-195
+460
-205
+475
4
0		-0.45672-0.44821-0.27664
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
-105
+275
-120
+280
1
3		-1.34719-1.38338-1.42026
Brann
Sandefjord		38.2%
34.3%		27.5%
-153
+420
-165
+400
1
1		-1.50562-1.52138-1.29011
Viking
Strømsgodset		55.5%
23.1%		21.5%
+135
+195
+125
+185
0
1		-1.11252-1.09775-1.46690
Stabaek
Sarpsborg 08		37.8%
33.6%		28.7%
+450
-168
+475
-200
2
2		-1.56878-1.60794-1.24998
Aalesund
Haugesund		9.8%
75.6%		14.6%
+345
-108
+345
-130
1
6		-0.65909-0.61902-0.27956
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.