Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 18 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/23/2024 04:00 PM	Haugesund Viking	24.8% 52.2%	23.0%	+430 -185 +440 -190	1 5	-0.47934-0.47250	-0.65101
11/23/2024 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Odd	72.1% 12.8%	15.2%	-526 +1200 -550 +1300	2 0	-0.22680-0.21671	-0.32774
11/10/2024 04:00 PM	Odd Sandefjord	49.9% 26.2%	23.9%	+440 -172 +485 -195	0 1	-0.50215-0.46442	-1.33922
11/10/2024 04:00 PM	Viking Kristiansund	34.6% 40.5%	24.9%	-113 +310 -125 +305	1 0	-0.65803-0.63892	-1.06068
11/10/2024 04:00 PM	Molde Sarpsborg 08	73.0% 10.7%	16.3%	-110 +280 -110 +270	2 2	-1.42263-1.41022	-1.81695
11/03/2024 06:15 PM	Strømsgodset Rosenborg	12.3% 71.0%	16.7%	+590 -263 +625 -280	0 1	-0.37224-0.35585	-0.34183
11/03/2024 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Molde	41.5% 35.4%	23.2%	+157 +155 +170 +145	3 3	-1.36857-1.34592	-1.46179
11/03/2024 04:00 PM	Brann Odd	24.4% 51.9%	23.7%	-217 +510 -215 +510	3 0	-0.42826-0.43124	-1.41194
11/02/2024 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Viking	18.8% 60.7%	20.5%	+530 -230 +450 -200	2 3	-0.40109-0.45670	-0.49877
10/28/2024 06:00 PM	Rosenborg Bodo/Glimt	13.4% 70.6%	16.0%	+420 -189 +460 -205	3 2	-1.69778-1.77225	-2.01208
10/27/2024 04:00 PM	Molde Haugesund	70.8% 12.5%	16.8%	-128 +330 -130 +335	3 0	-0.63286-0.62077	-0.34564
10/27/2024 04:00 PM	Viking Sarpsborg 08	46.5% 28.3%	25.1%	+135 +175 +135 +170	2 1	-0.89899-0.90540	-0.76475
10/20/2024 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Kristiansund	17.8% 62.6%	19.6%	+183 +141 +175 +140	0 0	-1.31572-1.35767	-1.62740
10/20/2024 03:00 PM	Odd Viking	32.3% 43.4%	24.3%	+660 -278 +950 -400	3 3	-1.73727-1.91971	-1.41527
10/20/2024 12:30 PM	Brann Rosenborg	17.5% 61.2%	21.3%	+225 +112 +200 +120	2 1	-1.22370-1.14841	-1.74194
10/19/2024 02:00 PM	Sandefjord Molde	6.5% 82.2%	11.4%	+1050 -435 +700 -320	1 0	-2.48627-2.13166	-2.73985

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.