Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 10, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kristiansund
Viking 		32.2%
43.4%		24.4%
+500
-235

1.34
1.60		2.94
o3¼-105
u3¼-115

Strømsgodset
Brann 		25.1%
51.0%		23.8%
+475
-200

1.13
1.72		2.85
o3¼+102
u3¼-122

Games for Apr 9, 2025
Games for Apr 11, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viking
Odd		34.5%
40.7%		24.8%
+105
+235
+110
+215
3
3		-1.41247-1.40985-1.39497
Haugesund
Molde		8.9%
77.3%		13.8%
+800
-312
+850
-340
1
2		-0.32702-0.30843-0.25767
Kristiansund
Strømsgodset		53.5%
24.1%		22.4%
+440
-145
+385
-145
2
2		-1.44096-1.42366-1.49437
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg		62.2%
18.7%		19.0%
-140
+385
-140
+355
3
1		-0.57187-0.58781-0.47420
Molde
Bodo/Glimt		27.2%
51.4%		21.4%
+395
-145
+360
-145
1
1		-1.45175-1.47211-1.54234
Rosenborg
Haugesund		50.9%
24.9%		24.2%
+125
+226
+130
+210
3
1		-0.85944-0.88312-0.67544
Odd
Brann		42.6%
31.5%		25.9%
+875
-355
+785
-325
0
2		-0.29644-0.31858-1.15499
Sandefjord
Odd		19.6%
59.1%		21.3%
+306
-105
+320
-120
2
2		-1.31654-1.37074-1.54726
Kristiansund
Molde		12.2%
71.7%		16.0%
+900
-385
+1125
-475
0
2		-0.27747-0.24039-0.33236
Brann
Viking		23.5%
53.7%		22.8%
+155
+160
+145
+165
1
1		-1.36630-1.37259-1.47788
Odd
Sarpsborg 08		44.8%
29.2%		26.0%
+330
-135
+330
-135
1
0		-1.50548-1.50828-0.80352
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		63.2%
17.1%		19.7%
+243
+115
+225
+120
0
1		-0.81094-0.83924-1.76808
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		9.4%
78.2%		12.4%
+570
-240
+610
-270
0
1		-0.39537-0.36774-0.24581
Sarpsborg 08
Viking		21.5%
55.8%		22.7%
+240
+100
+265
-115
0
1		-0.73633-0.67712-0.58404
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		13.8%
67.5%		18.7%
+435
-160
+375
-150
0
2		-0.53355-0.56103-0.39316
Strømsgodset
Molde		5.7%
84.3%		10.0%
+645
-250
+650
-255
0
4		-0.37472-0.38120-0.17074
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02444 
Sportsbooks20-0-0 (0.500)2 
DRatings20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.91936
-0.89493

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.