Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Molde 		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+390
-157

0.75
2.73		3.48
o3½+113
u3½-130

Rosenborg
Brann 		52.4%
23.5%		24.1%
+260
-110

1.69
1.05		2.74
o3-125
u3¼-121

Games for Aug 1, 2026
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Haugesund
Molde		8.9%
77.3%		13.8%
+900
-400

1
2		-0.28141-0.25767
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		24.7%
51.8%		23.4%
+730
-303

1
1		-1.75747-1.45154
Haugesund
Viking		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+900
-385

1
5		-0.27097-0.65101
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+330
-128

3
2		-1.50467-1.30837
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+350
-120

0
0		-1.40381-1.47894
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+116
+225

2
2		-1.33842-1.46179
Brann
Strømsgodset		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+120
+210

2
1		-0.84190-0.87361
Strømsgodset
Brann		25.1%
51.0%		23.8%
+440
-175

1
2		-0.51539-0.67270
Kristiansund
Viking		32.2%
43.4%		24.4%
+575
-250

1
3		-0.40087-0.83358
Molde
Sandefjord		77.0%
9.0%		13.9%
+105
+240

0
3		-1.28920-2.40417
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+100
+270

5
0		-0.75967-1.43456
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+500
-215

2
0		-1.86072-2.56759
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		63.2%
17.1%		19.7%
+115
+215

2
1		-0.83540-0.45910
Odd
Haugesund		41.0%
33.1%		25.8%
+285
-116
+305
-125
1
2		-0.67041-0.63597-1.10558
Molde
Strømsgodset		79.7%
8.0%		12.4%
-123
+310
-135
+325
0
1		-1.44962-1.49642-2.53099
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		42.5%
32.0%		25.5%
-169
+420
-170
+400
4
0		-0.50670-0.51318-0.85614
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.