Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rosenborg
Viking 		41.4%
33.4%		25.2%
+520
-238

1.49
1.31		2.80
o3-122
u3¼-129

Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kristiansund
Bodo/Glimt		8.9%
78.7%		12.4%
+1200
-556
+1150
-625
0
4		-0.21369-0.19738-0.23984
Brann
Haugesund		31.0%
42.2%		26.8%
-119
+320
-125
+320
1
0		-0.64093-0.63980-1.17005
Odd
Kristiansund		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+260
-105
+270
-110
0
0		-1.38677-1.40051-1.38135
Haugesund
Rosenborg		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+700
-256
+650
-275
0
4		-0.36551-0.36071-0.51259
Bodo/Glimt
Brann		78.8%
8.6%		12.7%
+140
+185
+130
+185
1
3		-1.07755-1.09832-2.45854
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1
2		-0.73337-0.71980-1.07105
Molde
Kristiansund		63.8%
17.1%		19.1%
-189
+460
-190
+450
4
0		-0.46686-0.47359-0.44904
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08		44.6%
29.2%		26.2%
+395
-170
+385
-170
2
0		-1.64284-1.62857-0.80788
Brann
Sandefjord		38.2%
34.3%		27.5%
+131
+180
+135
+175
2
2		-1.38681-1.38601-1.29011
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+200
+125
+200
+120
0
0		-1.35526-1.38478-1.47364
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		30.0%
42.2%		27.8%
+480
-222
+490
-225
3
1		-1.81064-1.82592-1.20454
Bodo/Glimt
Strømsgodset		85.0%
5.8%		9.2%
-132
+340
-145
+325
1
0		-0.58467-0.57506-0.16275
Haugesund
Kristiansund		25.8%
50.1%		24.0%
+185
+145
+185
+140
2
2		-1.34711-1.31502-1.42712
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+200
+131
+205
+125
1
2		-0.88407-0.85982-1.42026
Rosenborg
Odd		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
-120
+295
-120
+310
3
1		-0.65971-0.65406-0.85724
Kristiansund
Sandefjord		49.5%
26.3%		24.2%
+340
-150
+340
-145
0
1		-0.57151-0.57490-1.33724
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.