Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+125
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+115
+210

1.69
1.55		3.24
o2¾-125
u2¾+105

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brann
Sandefjord		38.2%
34.3%		27.5%
-153
+420
-165
+400
1
1		-1.50562-1.52138-1.29011
Viking
Strømsgodset		55.5%
23.1%		21.5%
+135
+195
+125
+185
0
1		-1.11252-1.09775-1.46690
Stabaek
Sarpsborg 08		37.8%
33.6%		28.7%
+450
-168
+475
-200
2
2		-1.56878-1.60794-1.24998
Aalesund
Haugesund		9.8%
75.6%		14.6%
+345
-108
+345
-130
1
6		-0.65909-0.61902-0.27956
Odd
Strømsgodset		53.6%
24.0%		22.3%
+316
-105
+260
+110
1
3		-0.70273-0.79308-1.42637
Stabaek
Rosenborg		20.3%
57.0%		22.7%
+286
-104
+290
-120
1
1		-1.39554-1.43687-1.48175
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund		63.7%
16.1%		20.1%
-110
+255
-130
+300
2
3		-1.30693-1.43557-1.82356
Molde
Brann		71.8%
11.7%		16.5%
+213
+137
+180
+135
2
3		-0.88574-0.90599-2.14575
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt		4.7%
86.8%		8.5%
+2075
-929
+1350
-800
3
4		-0.13474-0.16952-0.14191
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
+410
-165
+345
-155
2
5		-0.49431-0.54659-1.53280
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+228
+111
+210
+105
3
1		-1.21322-1.18146-0.88059
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+195
+143
+225
+125
0
1		-0.93575-0.85616-0.62993
Viking
Odd		34.5%
40.7%		24.8%
+105
+262
-105
+260
1
1		-1.37350-1.39659-1.39497
Strømsgodset
Bodo/Glimt		4.2%
88.4%		7.4%
+1200
-536
+1175
-575
0
2		-0.21186-0.21055-0.12348
Viking
Molde		12.8%
71.2%		16.0%
+300
-121
+300
-125
0
4		-0.63200-0.63605-0.34032
Sandefjord
Viking		18.8%
60.7%		20.5%
+840
-335
+775
-360
3
4		-0.29343-0.29463-0.49877
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.