Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 1 min ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/30/2025 05:00 PM	Strømsgodset Bodo/Glimt	4.2% 88.4%	7.4%	+1700 -909	0 1	-0.15065	-0.12348
07/26/2025 02:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord	35.3% 36.0%	28.6%	+215 +100	2 3	-0.74993	-1.02057
07/20/2025 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Sandefjord	49.5% 26.3%	24.2%	+500 -210	0 6	-0.43262	-1.33724
07/19/2025 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Viking	71.4% 13.4%	15.3%	+104 +230	4 2	-0.75230	-0.33743
07/19/2025 02:00 PM	Strømsgodset Molde	5.7% 84.3%	10.0%	+570 -244	1 4	-0.39309	-0.17074
07/18/2025 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08	54.1% 21.6%	24.3%	+168 +150	2 2	-1.30996	-1.41626
07/13/2025 05:15 PM	Viking Brann	44.3% 30.6%	25.0%	+195 +124	1 3	-0.85390	-1.18355
07/13/2025 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund	22.5% 53.7%	23.8%	+130 +176	0 0	-1.39352	-1.43473
07/12/2025 02:00 PM	Sandefjord Bodo/Glimt	4.7% 86.8%	8.5%	+750 -375	0 2	-0.29784	-0.14191
07/06/2025 12:30 PM	Haugesund Sarpsborg 08	35.6% 35.8%	28.7%	+600 -250	1 3	-0.37793	-1.02845
07/06/2025 12:30 PM	Rosenborg Sandefjord	59.3% 18.9%	21.7%	+200 +120	0 2	-0.84155	-1.66368
07/05/2025 06:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Kristiansund	72.1% 12.7%	15.2%	-222 +500	1 1	-1.71147	-1.88249
07/05/2025 02:00 PM	Strømsgodset Viking	16.8% 64.5%	18.6%	+825 -385	0 1	-0.28081	-0.43816
06/30/2025 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Brann	27.2% 47.1%	25.7%	+360 -155	0 1	-0.54421	-0.75235
06/29/2025 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Bodo/Glimt	5.6% 84.3%	10.0%	+900 -417	2 1	-2.35283	-2.87991
06/29/2025 12:30 PM	Kristiansund Haugesund	40.9% 33.2%	26.0%	+110 +220	0 0	-1.39534	-1.34854

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	1	1-0-0 (1.000)	0	-0.15065
Sportsbooks	1	0-0-0 (0.500)	1
DRatings	1	1-0-0 (1.000)	0	-0.12348	0.02717

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.