Porto at Braga

Updated

Porto

47.8%25.1%27.1%
Porto WinDrawBraga Win
1.57Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 0

Braga

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Boavista-800
T 2-2 vs Sporting CP+140
T 2-2 vs Famalicao-475
L 2-1 vs Vitoria-300
W 3-0 at Portimonense-400
Braga
Money Line
W 3-2 at Vitoria+120
L 1-3 at Benfica+410
W 5-3 at Portimonense-240
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-235
T 0-0 at Rio Ave-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+115-+105+113-+113+113-
Braga+215-+235+200-+200+235-
Draw+250-+270+260-+260+270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+125----+110+110-
Braga+215----+230+230-
Draw+250----+270+270-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +100 to -101
Braga ML moved from +250 to +235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +125 to +105
Braga ML moved from +235 to +225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105-o3-105o3-105-o3-105o3-105-
Underu3-115-u3-115u3-115-u3-115u3-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-119 to o3ΒΌ-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.96%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 020.79%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 313.43%
Exactly 45.27%
Exactly 51.66%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 032.66%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.79%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 048.32%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 212.78%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 059.57%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 27.99%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals24.44%
Wins by 3+ goals9.94%
Wins by 4+ goals3.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals10.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Braga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.22%
Wins by 2 goals14.50%
Wins by 3 goals6.68%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal16.54%
Wins by 2 goals7.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.94%25.06%
2.550.38%49.62%
3.528.36%71.64%
4.513.55%86.45%
5.55.59%94.41%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.21%20.79%
1.546.55%53.45%
2.520.91%79.09%
3.57.48%92.52%
4.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.34%32.66%
1.530.79%69.21%
2.510.34%89.66%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.21%28.79%
1.535.37%64.63%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Braga
Score01234
0
6.79%
7.60%
4.25%
1.59%
0.44%
1
10.67%
11.93%
6.68%
2.49%
0.70%
2
8.38%
9.37%
5.24%
1.96%
0.55%
3
4.39%
4.91%
2.75%
1.02%
0.29%
4
1.72%
1.93%
1.08%
0.40%
0.11%
5
0.54%
0.61%
0.34%
0.13%
0.04%
Porto
1-010.67%
2-08.38%
2-19.37%
3-04.39%
3-14.91%
3-22.75%
4-01.72%
4-11.93%
4-21.08%
4-30.40%
5-00.54%
5-10.61%
5-20.34%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.79%
1-111.93%
2-25.24%
3-31.02%
4-40.11%
Braga
0-17.60%
0-24.25%
1-26.68%
0-31.59%
1-32.49%
2-31.96%
0-40.44%
1-40.70%
2-40.55%
3-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Braga
Score0123
0
28.79%
14.91%
3.86%
0.67%
1
20.93%
10.84%
2.81%
0.49%
2
7.61%
3.94%
1.02%
0.18%
3
1.85%
0.96%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.34%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Porto
1-020.93%
2-07.61%
2-13.94%
3-01.85%
3-10.96%
3-20.25%
4-00.34%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-028.79%
1-110.84%
2-21.02%
Braga
0-114.91%
0-23.86%
1-22.81%
0-30.67%
1-30.49%
2-30.18%