Tondela at Nacional

Updated

Tondela

30.4%31.1%38.5%
Tondela WinDrawNacional Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.06

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Porto+1250
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+500
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+175
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1025
L 0-3 at Rio Ave+185
Nacional
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Benfica+600
L 1-0 vs Famalicao+220
W 2-3 vs Moreirense+120
W 1-0 at Braga+730
L 0-1 at Porto+1800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+215-+220+185-+185+220-
Nacional+131-+134+145-+145+145-
Draw+220-+210+210-+210+210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+220----+220+220-
Nacional+130----+135+135-
Draw+230----+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +189 to +180
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118-o2¼-115o2¼-105-o2¼-105o2¼-105-
Underu2¼-102-u2¼-105u2¼-115-u2¼-115u2¼-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-105 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.09%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.66%
Exactly 61.11%
 
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 317.67%
Exactly 53.39%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 040.53%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.53%
Exactly 34.98%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 034.78%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.40%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.37%
Exactly 216.61%
Exactly 41.14%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 35.02%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 065.83%
Exactly 127.53%
Exactly 25.75%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 061.32%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals10.53%
Wins by 3+ goals2.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals15.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal19.85%
Wins by 2 goals7.81%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal23.21%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.91%14.09%
1.558.29%41.71%
2.531.23%68.77%
3.513.56%86.44%
4.54.91%95.09%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.47%40.53%
1.522.87%77.13%
2.56.34%93.66%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.22%34.78%
1.528.49%71.51%
2.59.09%90.91%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.63%40.37%
1.523.01%76.99%
2.56.40%93.60%
3.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Nacional
Score01234
0
14.09%
14.89%
7.86%
2.77%
0.73%
1
12.73%
13.45%
7.10%
2.50%
0.66%
2
5.75%
6.07%
3.21%
1.13%
0.30%
3
1.73%
1.83%
0.97%
0.34%
0.09%
4
0.39%
0.41%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
Tondela
1-012.73%
2-05.75%
2-16.07%
3-01.73%
3-11.83%
3-20.97%
4-00.39%
4-10.41%
4-20.22%
Draw
0-014.09%
1-113.45%
2-23.21%
3-30.34%
Nacional
0-114.89%
0-27.86%
1-27.10%
0-32.77%
1-32.50%
2-31.13%
0-40.73%
1-40.66%
2-40.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Nacional
Score0123
0
40.37%
19.74%
4.83%
0.79%
1
16.88%
8.25%
2.02%
0.33%
2
3.53%
1.73%
0.42%
0.07%
3
0.49%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
Tondela
1-016.88%
2-03.53%
2-11.73%
3-00.49%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-040.37%
1-18.25%
2-20.42%
Nacional
0-119.74%
0-24.83%
1-22.02%
0-30.79%
1-30.33%