Portimonense at Nacional

Updated

Portimonense

30.4%31.0%38.7%
Portimonense WinDrawNacional Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.10
5Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 4 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Porto+725
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+220
W 0-3 vs Tondela-115
T 0-0 vs Maritimo-110
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+310
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+200
L 1-2 at Pacos+450
L 2-1 vs Braga+525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+138+157+155+164+158+164+164-
Nacional+199+189+180+184+183+184+189-
Draw+217+209+210+187+211+187+211-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+150----+160+160-
Nacional+200----+190+190-
Draw+215----+210+210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +169 to +157
Nacional ML moved from +183 to +176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Portimonense ML
Nacional ML moved from +200 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-120o2-115-o2-115-
Underu2-101u2+100u2-105-u2-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.4%
 
No61.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.12%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 48.64%
Exactly 61.10%
 
Exactly 127.64%
Exactly 317.65%
Exactly 53.38%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 042.26%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.68%
Exactly 34.50%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 033.41%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.08%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.40%
Exactly 216.59%
Exactly 41.14%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 35.01%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 067.11%
Exactly 126.77%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals9.43%
Wins by 3+ goals2.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals16.58%
Wins by 3+ goals5.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal18.88%
Wins by 2 goals7.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals11.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.88%14.12%
1.558.24%41.76%
2.531.19%68.81%
3.513.53%86.47%
4.54.89%95.11%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.74%42.26%
1.521.34%78.66%
2.55.67%94.33%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.59%33.41%
1.529.96%70.04%
2.59.88%90.12%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.60%40.40%
1.522.99%77.01%
2.56.39%93.61%
3.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Nacional
Score01234
0
14.12%
15.48%
8.48%
3.10%
0.85%
1
12.16%
13.33%
7.31%
2.67%
0.73%
2
5.24%
5.74%
3.15%
1.15%
0.32%
3
1.50%
1.65%
0.90%
0.33%
0.09%
4
0.32%
0.36%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Portimonense
1-012.16%
2-05.24%
2-15.74%
3-01.50%
3-11.65%
3-20.90%
4-00.32%
4-10.36%
4-20.19%
Draw
0-014.12%
1-113.33%
2-23.15%
3-30.33%
Nacional
0-115.48%
0-28.48%
1-27.31%
0-33.10%
1-32.67%
2-31.15%
0-40.85%
1-40.73%
2-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Nacional
Score01234
0
40.40%
20.50%
5.20%
0.88%
0.11%
1
16.11%
8.18%
2.08%
0.35%
0.04%
2
3.21%
1.63%
0.41%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.43%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-016.11%
2-03.21%
2-11.63%
3-00.43%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-040.40%
1-18.18%
2-20.41%
Nacional
0-120.50%
0-25.20%
1-22.08%
0-30.88%
1-30.35%
0-40.11%