Portimonense at Nacional

Updated

Portimonense

30.4%31.0%38.7%
Portimonense WinDrawNacional Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.10
5Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 4 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Porto+725
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+220
W 0-3 vs Tondela-115
T 0-0 vs Maritimo-110
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+310
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+200
L 1-2 at Pacos+450
L 2-1 vs Braga+525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+138+157+155+164+158+164+164-
Nacional+199+189+180+184+183+184+189-
Draw+217+209+210+187+211+187+211-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+150----+160+160-
Nacional+200----+190+190-
Draw+215----+210+210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Portimonense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +169 to +157
Nacional ML moved from +183 to +176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Portimonense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Portimonense ML
Nacional ML moved from +200 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-120o2-115-o2-115-
Underu2-101u2+100u2-105-u2-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.4%
 
No61.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.12%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 48.64%
Exactly 61.10%
 
Exactly 127.64%
Exactly 317.65%
Exactly 53.38%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 042.26%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.68%
Exactly 34.50%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 033.41%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.08%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.40%
Exactly 216.59%
Exactly 41.14%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 35.01%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 067.11%
Exactly 126.77%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals9.43%
Wins by 3+ goals2.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals16.58%
Wins by 3+ goals5.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal18.88%
Wins by 2 goals7.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals11.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.88%14.12%
1.558.24%41.76%
2.531.19%68.81%
3.513.53%86.47%
4.54.89%95.11%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.74%42.26%
1.521.34%78.66%
2.55.67%94.33%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.59%33.41%
1.529.96%70.04%
2.59.88%90.12%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.60%40.40%
1.522.99%77.01%
2.56.39%93.61%
3.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Nacional
Score01234
0
14.12%
15.48%
8.48%
3.10%
0.85%
1
12.16%
13.33%
7.31%
2.67%
0.73%
2
5.24%
5.74%
3.15%
1.15%
0.32%
3
1.50%
1.65%
0.90%
0.33%
0.09%
4
0.32%
0.36%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Portimonense
1-012.16%
2-05.24%
2-15.74%
3-01.50%
3-11.65%
3-20.90%
4-00.32%
4-10.36%
4-20.19%
Draw
0-014.12%
1-113.33%
2-23.15%
3-30.33%
Nacional
0-115.48%
0-28.48%
1-27.31%
0-33.10%
1-32.67%
2-31.15%
0-40.85%
1-40.73%
2-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Nacional
Score01234
0
40.40%
20.50%
5.20%
0.88%
0.11%
1
16.11%
8.18%
2.08%
0.35%
0.04%
2
3.21%
1.63%
0.41%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.43%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-016.11%
2-03.21%
2-11.63%
3-00.43%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-040.40%
1-18.18%
2-20.41%
Nacional
0-120.50%
0-25.20%
1-22.08%
0-30.88%
1-30.35%
0-40.11%
Benfica at Braga
Gil Vicente FC at Rio Ave