Tondela at Moreirense

Updated

Tondela

26.4%26.9%46.7%
Tondela WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.44
3Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Porto+825
W 2-1 at Vitoria+440
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+400
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+825
L 0-3 at Portimonense+350
Moreirense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+265
T 1-1 vs Sporting CP+800
L 0-3 at Pacos+360
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+220
W 2-0 at Maritimo+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+215+189+190+185+188+185+190-
Moreirense+132+152+140+144+149+144+152-
Draw+205+217+205+215+221+215+221-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+235----+200+200-
Moreirense+120----+150+150-
Draw+235----+215+215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +195 to +188
Moreirense ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +235 to +200
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2¼-118o2½+115o2¼-119-o2¼-119o2½+115-
Underu2+120u2¼-104u2½-140u2¼-101-u2¼-101u2½-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.50%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.29%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.66%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 044.32%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.67%
Exactly 33.98%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 023.69%
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 311.79%
Exactly 44.25%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.22%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 068.61%
Exactly 125.85%
Exactly 24.87%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 051.33%
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 211.41%
Exactly 32.54%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals6.57%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals25.91%
Wins by 3+ goals10.10%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal14.63%
Wins by 2 goals5.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.89%
Wins by 2 goals15.82%
Wins by 3 goals6.95%
Wins by 4 goals2.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.50%10.50%
1.565.84%34.16%
2.539.17%60.83%
3.519.14%80.86%
4.57.85%92.15%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.68%44.32%
1.519.61%80.39%
2.54.94%95.06%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.31%23.69%
1.542.20%57.80%
2.517.63%82.37%
3.55.84%94.16%
4.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.78%35.22%
1.528.03%71.97%
2.58.85%91.15%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Moreirense
Score012345
0
10.50%
15.12%
10.89%
5.23%
1.88%
0.54%
1
8.54%
12.30%
8.86%
4.25%
1.53%
0.44%
2
3.48%
5.01%
3.60%
1.73%
0.62%
0.18%
3
0.94%
1.36%
0.98%
0.47%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.19%
0.28%
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Tondela
1-08.54%
2-03.48%
2-15.01%
3-00.94%
3-11.36%
3-20.98%
4-00.19%
4-10.28%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-010.50%
1-112.30%
2-23.60%
3-30.47%
Moreirense
0-115.12%
0-210.89%
1-28.86%
0-35.23%
1-34.25%
2-31.73%
0-41.88%
1-41.53%
2-40.62%
3-40.17%
0-50.54%
1-50.44%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Moreirense
Score01234
0
35.22%
23.49%
7.83%
1.74%
0.29%
1
13.27%
8.85%
2.95%
0.66%
0.11%
2
2.50%
1.67%
0.56%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-013.27%
2-02.50%
2-11.67%
3-00.31%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-035.22%
1-18.85%
2-20.56%
Moreirense
0-123.49%
0-27.83%
1-22.95%
0-31.74%
1-30.66%
2-30.12%
0-40.29%
1-40.11%