Braga at Benfica

Updated

Braga

33.9%24.2%41.9%
Braga WinDrawBenfica Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.64
1Final Score 6

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-210
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC-140
T 2-2 vs Boavista-260
T 1-1 at Santa Clara-105
W 1-3 vs Tondela-360
Benfica
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Portimonense-500
W 3-1 at Vitoria-165
W 1-3 vs Boavista-725
W 1-2 vs Tondela-950
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+475-+400+385+424+385+424+496.5
Benfica-190--160-154-167-154-154-148.3
Draw+330-+300+275+311+275+311+325.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+435----+470+470+496.5
Benfica-170-----175-175-148.3
Draw+330----+320+320+325.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +350 to +340
Benfica ML moved from -143 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +480 to +470
Benfica ML moved from -155 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾-105o2¾+101-o2¾+101o2¾+108
Under-u2¾-115u2¾-121-u2¾-121u2¾-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+108
Under-----u2¾-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.1%
 
No40.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.19%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 416.57%
Exactly 64.84%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.35%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.81%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 026.65%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 019.47%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.22%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.41%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 310.89%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 054.21%
Exactly 133.19%
Exactly 210.16%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 046.88%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.46%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals13.45%
Wins by 3+ goals4.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals23.15%
Wins by 3+ goals9.63%
Wins by 4+ goals3.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.93%
Wins by 6+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Braga
Wins by 1 goal17.50%
Wins by 2 goals8.83%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal21.65%
Wins by 2 goals13.53%
Wins by 3 goals6.34%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.81%5.19%
1.579.46%20.54%
2.556.76%43.24%
3.534.36%65.64%
4.517.79%82.21%
5.57.98%92.02%
6.53.15%96.85%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.35%26.65%
1.538.11%61.89%
2.514.81%85.19%
3.54.54%95.46%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.53%19.47%
1.548.68%51.32%
2.522.61%77.39%
3.58.39%91.61%
4.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.59%25.41%
1.539.78%60.22%
2.515.93%84.07%
3.55.04%94.96%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
5.19%
8.49%
6.95%
3.79%
1.55%
0.51%
1
6.86%
11.23%
9.19%
5.01%
2.05%
0.67%
2
4.54%
7.42%
6.07%
3.31%
1.36%
0.44%
3
2.00%
3.27%
2.68%
1.46%
0.60%
0.20%
4
0.66%
1.08%
0.89%
0.48%
0.20%
0.06%
5
0.17%
0.29%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Braga
1-06.86%
2-04.54%
2-17.42%
3-02.00%
3-13.27%
3-22.68%
4-00.66%
4-11.08%
4-20.89%
4-30.48%
5-00.17%
5-10.29%
5-20.23%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-05.19%
1-111.23%
2-26.07%
3-31.46%
4-40.20%
Benfica
0-18.49%
0-26.95%
1-29.19%
0-33.79%
1-35.01%
2-33.31%
0-41.55%
1-42.05%
2-41.36%
3-40.60%
0-50.51%
1-50.67%
2-50.44%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Benfica
Score01234
0
25.41%
19.25%
7.29%
1.84%
0.35%
1
15.56%
11.79%
4.47%
1.13%
0.21%
2
4.76%
3.61%
1.37%
0.35%
0.07%
3
0.97%
0.74%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-015.56%
2-04.76%
2-13.61%
3-00.97%
3-10.74%
3-20.28%
4-00.15%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-025.41%
1-111.79%
2-21.37%
Benfica
0-119.25%
0-27.29%
1-24.47%
0-31.84%
1-31.13%
2-30.35%
0-40.35%
1-40.21%
Sporting CP at Paços
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