Vitória at Nacional

Updated

Vitoria

54.6%25.5%19.8%
Vitória WinDrawWin
1.56Projected Goals 0.82
0Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+815
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-130
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+305
W 0-5 vs Tondela-110
L 0-3 at Benfica+1200
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+230
W 2-0 at Tondela+155
L 0-2 at Benfica+1525
L 0-1 at Famalicao+445
T 1-1 at Moreirense+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+255-+235+250-+240+240-
Nacional-106-+114+111-+112+114-
Draw+270-+235+240-+240+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+295----+285+285-
Nacional-110----+105+105-
Draw+265----+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 50.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +250 to +240
Nacional ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 60.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +245 to +230
Nacional ML moved from +130 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2½-105o2¾+116-o2¾+116o2½-105-
Underu2¾-112-u2½-115u2¾-136-u2¾-136u2¾-136-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾+104 to o2¾-117
The Under moved from u2¾-122 to u2½-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.30%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 412.34%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.08%
Exactly 320.77%
Exactly 55.86%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 021.15%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 313.22%
Exactly 45.13%
Exactly 51.60%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 043.96%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.85%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.29%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 048.71%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 068.35%
Exactly 126.01%
Exactly 24.95%
Exactly 30.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals28.67%
Wins by 3+ goals11.85%
Wins by 4+ goals3.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.03%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals6.13%
Wins by 3+ goals1.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.85%
Wins by 2 goals16.83%
Wins by 3 goals7.92%
Wins by 4 goals2.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal13.68%
Wins by 2 goals4.71%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.70%9.30%
1.568.62%31.38%
2.542.39%57.61%
3.521.62%78.38%
4.59.28%90.72%
5.53.42%96.58%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.85%21.15%
1.546.00%54.00%
2.520.47%79.53%
3.57.25%92.75%
4.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.04%43.96%
1.519.91%80.09%
2.55.06%94.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.71%33.29%
1.530.09%69.91%
2.59.96%90.04%
3.52.57%97.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Nacional
Score01234
0
9.30%
7.64%
3.14%
0.86%
0.18%
1
14.44%
11.87%
4.88%
1.34%
0.27%
2
11.22%
9.22%
3.79%
1.04%
0.21%
3
5.81%
4.78%
1.96%
0.54%
0.11%
4
2.26%
1.85%
0.76%
0.21%
0.04%
5
0.70%
0.58%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-014.44%
2-011.22%
2-19.22%
3-05.81%
3-14.78%
3-21.96%
4-02.26%
4-11.85%
4-20.76%
4-30.21%
5-00.70%
5-10.58%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-09.30%
1-111.87%
2-23.79%
3-30.54%
Nacional
0-17.64%
0-23.14%
1-24.88%
0-30.86%
1-31.34%
2-31.04%
0-40.18%
1-40.27%
2-40.21%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Nacional
Score0123
0
33.29%
12.67%
2.41%
0.31%
1
23.95%
9.11%
1.73%
0.22%
2
8.61%
3.28%
0.62%
0.08%
3
2.07%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.37%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-023.95%
2-08.61%
2-13.28%
3-02.07%
3-10.79%
3-20.15%
4-00.37%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-033.29%
1-19.11%
2-20.62%
Nacional
0-112.67%
0-22.41%
1-21.73%
0-30.31%
1-30.22%