Vitória at Belenenses

Updated

Vitoria

49.1%26.1%24.8%
Vitória WinDrawBelenenses Win
1.51Projected Goals 0.76
0Final Score 1

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Braga+260
T 1-1 at Portimonense+245
L 2-3 at Gil Vicente FC+225
T 1-1 vs Boavista-160
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+130
Belenenses
Money Line
L 1-4 at Moreirense+450
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+1200
T 1-1 at Maritimo+445
L 4-1 vs Porto+1400
L 0-1 at Famalicao+620

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-109+105-105+101-105+101+105+112.3
Belenenses+288+298+280+245+276+245+298+298.4
Draw+255+246+250+230+255+230+255+259.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-120----+105+105+112.3
Belenenses+335----+280+280+298.4
Draw+260----+235+235+259.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 30.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from -125 to -132
Belenenses ML moved from +276 to +266

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 30.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
Belenenses ML moved from +360 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+102o2½-102o2½-108-o2½-108o2½+102o2½+104
Underu2½-122u2½-117u2½-118u2½-112-u2½-112u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.5%
 
No58.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.36%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.41%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.48%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 55.17%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 022.16%
Exactly 133.39%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 312.64%
Exactly 44.76%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 046.75%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.52%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.00%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 049.77%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 212.12%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 070.32%
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 24.36%
Exactly 30.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals28.51%
Wins by 3+ goals11.56%
Wins by 4+ goals3.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.97%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals5.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Belenenses
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal26.43%
Wins by 2 goals16.95%
Wins by 3 goals7.81%
Wins by 4 goals2.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal13.33%
Wins by 2 goals4.30%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.64%10.36%
1.566.16%33.84%
2.539.53%60.47%
3.519.41%80.59%
4.58.00%92.00%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.84%22.16%
1.544.45%55.55%
2.519.29%80.71%
3.56.65%93.35%
4.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.25%46.75%
1.517.71%82.29%
2.54.19%95.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.00%35.00%
1.528.26%71.74%
2.58.97%91.03%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Belenenses
Score01234
0
10.36%
7.88%
2.99%
0.76%
0.14%
1
15.61%
11.87%
4.51%
1.14%
0.22%
2
11.76%
8.94%
3.40%
0.86%
0.16%
3
5.91%
4.49%
1.71%
0.43%
0.08%
4
2.23%
1.69%
0.64%
0.16%
0.03%
5
0.67%
0.51%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-015.61%
2-011.76%
2-18.94%
3-05.91%
3-14.49%
3-21.71%
4-02.23%
4-11.69%
4-20.64%
4-30.16%
5-00.67%
5-10.51%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-010.36%
1-111.87%
2-23.40%
3-30.43%
Belenenses
0-17.88%
0-22.99%
1-24.51%
0-30.76%
1-31.14%
2-30.86%
0-40.14%
1-40.22%
2-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Belenenses
Score0123
0
35.00%
12.32%
2.17%
0.25%
1
24.42%
8.60%
1.51%
0.18%
2
8.52%
3.00%
0.53%
0.06%
3
1.98%
0.70%
0.12%
0.01%
4
0.35%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-024.42%
2-08.52%
2-13.00%
3-01.98%
3-10.70%
3-20.12%
4-00.35%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-035.00%
1-18.60%
2-20.53%
Belenenses
0-112.32%
0-22.17%
1-21.51%
0-30.25%
1-30.18%