Braga at Tondela

Updated

Braga

71.5%17.6%10.8%
Braga WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.75
1Final Score 0

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Pacos-265
L 1-2 at Vitoria+110
W 0-2 vs Moreirense-245
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+440
L 1-0 vs Maritimo-275
Tondela
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Benfica+810
W 2-1 at Portimonense+240
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+400
T 1-1 at Boavista+290
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-115-136-140-133-144-133-133-129.7
Tondela+300+399+370+325+365+325+399+422.9
Draw+260+296+265+265+290+265+296+309.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-160-----150-150-129.7
Tondela+440----+400+400+422.9
Draw+300----+300+300+309.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -143 to -150
Tondela ML moved from +345 to +325

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -155 to -165
Tondela ML moved from +430 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-114o2½-115o2¾+106-o2¾+106o2½-114o2½-114
Underu2½-102u2½-101u2½-105u2¾-126-u2¾-126u2¾-126u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-122 to o2¾-110
The Under moved from u2¾-108 to u2½+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.98%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 416.80%
Exactly 65.04%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.94%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.08%
Exactly 72.16%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 047.38%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.22%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.94%
Exactly 224.05%
Exactly 43.87%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 311.13%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 035.24%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 070.76%
Exactly 124.47%
Exactly 24.23%
Exactly 30.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals47.77%
Wins by 3+ goals26.38%
Wins by 4+ goals12.16%
Wins by 5+ goals4.75%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals2.89%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Tondela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.71%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals14.22%
Wins by 4 goals7.41%
Wins by 5 goals3.17%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal7.85%
Wins by 2 goals2.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.02%4.98%
1.580.08%19.92%
2.557.67%42.33%
3.535.27%64.73%
4.518.47%81.53%
5.58.39%91.61%
6.53.35%96.65%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.81%34.19%
2.539.13%60.87%
3.519.11%80.89%
4.57.83%92.17%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.62%47.38%
1.517.23%82.77%
2.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.06%24.94%
1.540.43%59.57%
2.516.38%83.62%
3.55.25%94.75%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Tondela
Score0123
0
4.98%
3.72%
1.39%
0.35%
1
11.22%
8.38%
3.13%
0.78%
2
12.64%
9.44%
3.53%
0.88%
3
9.49%
7.09%
2.65%
0.66%
4
5.34%
3.99%
1.49%
0.37%
5
2.41%
1.80%
0.67%
0.17%
Braga
1-011.22%
2-012.64%
2-19.44%
3-09.49%
3-17.09%
3-22.65%
4-05.34%
4-13.99%
4-21.49%
4-30.37%
5-02.41%
5-11.80%
5-20.67%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-04.98%
1-18.38%
2-23.53%
3-30.66%
Tondela
0-13.72%
0-21.39%
1-23.13%
0-30.35%
1-30.78%
2-30.88%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Tondela
Score0123
0
24.94%
8.63%
1.49%
0.17%
1
26.01%
9.00%
1.56%
0.18%
2
13.56%
4.69%
0.81%
0.09%
3
4.71%
1.63%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.23%
0.43%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Braga
1-026.01%
2-013.56%
2-14.69%
3-04.71%
3-11.63%
3-20.28%
4-01.23%
4-10.43%
5-00.26%
Draw
0-024.94%
1-19.00%
2-20.81%
Tondela
0-18.63%
0-21.49%
1-21.56%
0-30.17%
1-30.18%