Moreirense at Belenenses

Updated

Moreirense

39.5%28.9%31.5%
Moreirense WinDrawBelenenses Win
1.22Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 1

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Braga+450
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+325
L 2-1 vs Benfica+750
W 0-3 vs Famalicao+280
L 1-2 at Braga+600
Belenenses
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1500
L 0-2 at Porto+1450
L 0-4 at Porto+1300
L 2-0 vs Santa Clara+230
W 3-1 at Tondela+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+175-+120+121+111+121+121-
Belenenses+175-+250+245+262+250+262-
Draw+200-+210+195+222+193+222-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+155----+120+120-
Belenenses+210----+250+250-
Draw+200----+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +117 to +106
Belenenses ML moved from +277 to +262

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +130 to +120
Belenenses ML moved from +245 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-130o2-120-o2-120-
Under-u2+110u2+100-u2+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.18%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 410.74%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.50%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 029.56%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 037.82%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.88%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.26%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 056.88%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.06%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 063.75%
Exactly 128.70%
Exactly 26.46%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals18.25%
Wins by 3+ goals6.15%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals10.58%
Wins by 3+ goals2.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Belenenses
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals12.11%
Wins by 3 goals4.50%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal18.71%
Wins by 2 goals7.70%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.82%11.18%
1.564.32%35.68%
2.537.49%62.51%
3.517.89%82.11%
4.57.15%92.85%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.44%29.56%
1.534.41%65.59%
2.512.46%87.54%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.18%37.82%
1.525.40%74.60%
2.57.53%92.47%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.74%36.26%
1.526.96%73.04%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Belenenses
Score01234
0
11.18%
10.87%
5.28%
1.71%
0.42%
1
13.63%
13.25%
6.44%
2.09%
0.51%
2
8.30%
8.07%
3.92%
1.27%
0.31%
3
3.37%
3.28%
1.59%
0.52%
0.13%
4
1.03%
1.00%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.25%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-013.63%
2-08.30%
2-18.07%
3-03.37%
3-13.28%
3-21.59%
4-01.03%
4-11.00%
4-20.49%
4-30.16%
5-00.25%
5-10.24%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-011.18%
1-113.25%
2-23.92%
3-30.52%
Belenenses
0-110.87%
0-25.28%
1-26.44%
0-31.71%
1-32.09%
2-31.27%
0-40.42%
1-40.51%
2-40.31%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Belenenses
Score0123
0
36.26%
16.32%
3.67%
0.55%
1
20.46%
9.21%
2.07%
0.31%
2
5.77%
2.60%
0.58%
0.09%
3
1.09%
0.49%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-020.46%
2-05.77%
2-12.60%
3-01.09%
3-10.49%
3-20.11%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-036.26%
1-19.21%
2-20.58%
Belenenses
0-116.32%
0-23.67%
1-22.07%
0-30.55%
1-30.31%
Santa Clara at Boavista
Sporting CP at Famalicão