Moreirense at Benfica

Updated

Moreirense

11.5%18.3%70.1%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.19
0Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vitoria+335
L 0-1 at Boavista+145
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+130
W 1-0 at SC Farense+170
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+900
Benfica
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+240
L 0-5 at Porto+195
W 0-4 vs Portimonense-1100
T 2-2 at Vitoria-175
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-725

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1000-+700+750-+750+750-
Benfica-375--290-300--300-290-
Draw+440-+390+450-+450+450-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1050----+800+800-
Benfica-400-----325-325-
Draw+505----+475+475-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +725 to +700
Benfica ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +900 to +800
Benfica ML moved from -350 to -370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120-o2¾-122o2¾-128-o2¾-128o2¾-122-
Underu2¾+100-u2¾+102u2¾+108-u2¾+108u2¾+108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.24%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 416.51%
Exactly 64.79%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.45%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.74%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 046.83%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 213.48%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 011.19%
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 319.59%
Exactly 410.73%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.53%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 310.83%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 070.38%
Exactly 124.72%
Exactly 24.34%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 036.27%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.65%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals3.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.61%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals46.05%
Wins by 3+ goals24.90%
Wins by 4+ goals11.22%
Wins by 5+ goals4.27%
Wins by 6+ goals1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal8.32%
Wins by 2 goals2.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.54%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.05%
Wins by 2 goals21.15%
Wins by 3 goals13.68%
Wins by 4 goals6.95%
Wins by 5 goals2.89%
Wins by 6 goals1.01%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.76%5.24%
1.579.31%20.69%
2.556.53%43.47%
3.534.13%65.87%
4.517.62%82.38%
5.57.89%92.11%
6.53.10%96.90%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.17%46.83%
1.517.64%82.36%
2.54.17%95.83%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.81%11.19%
1.564.31%35.69%
2.537.47%62.53%
3.517.88%82.12%
4.57.15%92.85%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.47%25.53%
1.539.62%60.38%
2.515.82%84.18%
3.54.99%95.01%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Benfica
Score012345
0
5.24%
11.48%
12.57%
9.18%
5.02%
2.20%
1
3.97%
8.71%
9.53%
6.96%
3.81%
1.67%
2
1.51%
3.30%
3.62%
2.64%
1.45%
0.63%
3
0.38%
0.84%
0.91%
0.67%
0.37%
0.16%
Moreirense
1-03.97%
2-01.51%
2-13.30%
3-00.38%
3-10.84%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-05.24%
1-18.71%
2-23.62%
3-30.67%
Benfica
0-111.48%
0-212.57%
1-29.53%
0-39.18%
1-36.96%
2-32.64%
0-45.02%
1-43.81%
2-41.45%
3-40.37%
0-52.20%
1-51.67%
2-50.63%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Benfica
Score012345
0
25.53%
25.89%
13.13%
4.44%
1.13%
0.23%
1
8.97%
9.09%
4.61%
1.56%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.57%
1.60%
0.81%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-08.97%
2-01.57%
2-11.60%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-025.53%
1-19.09%
2-20.81%
Benfica
0-125.89%
0-213.13%
1-24.61%
0-34.44%
1-31.56%
2-30.27%
0-41.13%
1-40.40%
0-50.23%
Famalicão at Porto
Sporting CP at Famalicão