Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 29 days ago

Upcoming Games for June 15, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Jun 14, 2025

Games for Jun 16, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/18/2023 06:00 PM	Vitoria Benfica	18.6% 58.9%	22.5%	+1735 -625 +1800 -650	1 5	-0.17560-0.19439	-0.52974
03/17/2023 08:15 PM	Rio Ave Santa Clara	34.8% 34.0%	31.2%	+200 +183 +205 +160	2 0	-1.12396-1.16533	-1.05527
03/12/2023 08:30 PM	Boavista Sporting CP	8.2% 75.8%	16.0%	+1150 -373 +950 -370	0 3	-0.25742-0.28083	-0.27693
03/12/2023 06:00 PM	Benfica Maritimo	67.3% 12.9%	19.7%	-361 +1050 -385 +1000	3 0	-0.27537-0.28102	-0.39559
03/12/2023 03:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Rio Ave	24.4% 47.4%	28.3%	+218 +149 +220 +140	1 2	-0.93856-0.92591	-0.74693
03/11/2023 03:30 PM	Santa Clara Pacos	24.2% 48.9%	26.9%	+301 +110 +255 +115	0 1	-0.76748-0.81410	-0.71509
03/05/2023 08:30 PM	Rio Ave Braga	13.2% 67.3%	19.5%	+599 -178 +625 -200	0 2	-0.47506-0.45569	-0.39674
03/05/2023 06:00 PM	Vitoria Santa Clara	46.6% 25.8%	27.6%	+187 +184 +180 +180	3 1	-1.07819-1.07614	-0.76295
03/05/2023 03:30 PM	Maritimo Gil Vicente FC	32.5% 36.8%	30.6%	+350 -110 +340 -115	0 2	-0.66865-0.67641	-0.99886
03/04/2023 06:00 PM	Sporting CP Portimonense	72.9% 9.3%	17.7%	-273 +872 -315 +900	1 0	-0.34250-0.32403	-0.31596
02/27/2023 09:15 PM	Braga Vitoria	48.5% 26.2%	25.3%	-105 +318 +100 +290	1 2	-1.47081-1.41026	-1.34044
02/26/2023 08:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Porto	5.4% 82.0%	12.5%	+1630 -600 +1500 -620	2 1	-2.88993-2.82397	-2.91029
02/26/2023 06:00 PM	Boavista Pacos	20.0% 54.6%	25.4%	+185 +165 +185 +165	3 1	-1.09198-1.09688	-1.60809
02/25/2023 06:00 PM	Santa Clara Maritimo	33.2% 36.0%	30.9%	+280 +125 +280 +115	1 3	-0.84579-0.81507	-1.02285
02/24/2023 08:15 PM	Portimonense Famalicao	23.0% 51.6%	25.4%	+390 -120 +380 -120	0 1	-0.64478-0.65710	-0.66242
02/20/2023 09:15 PM	Boavista Benfica	8.3% 76.0%	15.7%	+1900 -666 +1900 -725	1 3	-0.17606-0.17800	-0.27409

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Sporting CP (12-0-3, 39 pts)	21.5	4.6	7.9	72.4	29.6%	67.2%	31.7%	0.0%
2	Porto (11-2-2, 35 pts)	23.1	5.0	5.9	75.2	56.8%	85.1%	14.7%	0.0%
3	Benfica (10-2-3, 33 pts)	20.6	5.9	7.5	69.3	11.5%	38.1%	58.9%	0.0%
4	Braga (10-5-0, 30 pts)	19.9	9.5	4.6	64.3	2.0%	9.3%	74.6%	0.0%
5	Pacos (8-3-4, 28 pts)	14.0	10.6	9.4	51.3	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%
6	Vitoria (8-4-2, 26 pts)	16.1	10.3	7.6	55.9	0.1%	0.3%	15.5%	0.0%
7	Moreirense (4-5-6, 18 pts)	10.5	12.4	11.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	2.2%
8	Santa Clara (5-7-3, 18 pts)	11.0	14.5	8.4	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	3.0%
9	Maritimo (5-8-2, 17 pts)	10.7	16.0	7.2	39.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%
10	Belenenses (3-6-6, 15 pts)	8.4	14.4	11.2	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0%
12	Portimonense (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.0	17.0	8.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.1%
13	Tondela (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.3	16.6	8.1	36.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	20.6%
14	Nacional (3-7-5, 14 pts)	7.9	16.0	10.1	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	31.6%
15	Famalicao (3-7-5, 14 pts)	10.0	13.4	10.6	40.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	4.8%
16	Gil Vicente FC (3-8-4, 13 pts)	9.0	15.9	9.2	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.1%
17	SC Farense (3-8-3, 12 pts)	8.3	17.6	8.2	32.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	37.0%
18	Boavista (1-6-8, 11 pts)	6.8	13.7	13.6	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	32.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).