Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 31 days ago

Upcoming Games for June 17, 2026

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Jun 16, 2026

Games for Jun 18, 2026

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/11/2022 07:30 PM	Braga Rio Ave	59.4% 18.0%	22.6%	-173 +525 -180 +510	3 2	-0.48475-0.49127	-0.52168
09/11/2022 05:00 PM	Gil Vicente FC Maritimo	29.9% 40.1%	30.0%	+174 +178 +170 +170	2 1	-1.03440-1.04512	-1.20892
09/10/2022 05:00 PM	Portimonense Sporting CP	6.8% 78.2%	15.0%	+841 -308 +800 -325	0 4	-0.30703-0.31680	-0.24604
09/10/2022 02:30 PM	Benfica Famalicao	67.0% 14.3%	18.7%	-238 +743 -240 +650	1 0	-0.37212-0.39899	-0.40066
09/09/2022 07:15 PM	Santa Clara Vitoria	19.8% 55.3%	24.9%	+317 +109 +300 +100	0 1	-0.75294-0.74482	-0.59283
09/05/2022 06:00 PM	Pacos Boavista	46.0% 26.0%	28.0%	+345 -102 +345 -110	0 1	-0.70680-0.69689	-1.34584
09/04/2022 07:30 PM	Famalicao Portimonense	42.7% 29.6%	27.7%	+205 +155 +195 +150	0 1	-0.95532-0.96648	-1.21831
09/04/2022 05:00 PM	Maritimo Santa Clara	29.2% 41.1%	29.7%	+302 +115 +310 +100	1 2	-0.77690-0.74345	-0.88992
09/03/2022 07:30 PM	Porto Gil Vicente FC	77.6% 7.4%	15.0%	-330 +1007 -340 +950	2 0	-0.29737-0.30961	-0.25319
09/03/2022 02:30 PM	Vitoria Braga	19.8% 57.5%	22.7%	+826 -263 +775 -275	0 1	-0.34427-0.36057	-0.55351
08/30/2022 07:15 PM	Pacos Benfica	14.8% 64.8%	20.4%	+3588 -1330 +3600 -1400	2 3	-0.10784-0.11900	-0.43417
08/28/2022 07:30 PM	Porto Rio Ave	71.3% 10.4%	18.3%	-312 +1037 -315 +950	1 3	-2.45644-2.40053	-2.26068
08/28/2022 02:30 PM	Santa Clara Famalicao	31.8% 40.5%	27.6%	+295 +110 +260 +115	0 1	-0.76856-0.81482	-0.90296
08/27/2022 05:00 PM	Benfica Boavista	69.9% 11.4%	18.6%	-260 +866 -320 +875	3 0	-0.35281-0.32040	-0.35763
08/27/2022 02:30 PM	Portimonense Maritimo	24.7% 46.1%	29.1%	+161 +200 +155 +190	1 0	-0.97686-0.98438	-1.39691
08/22/2022 07:15 PM	Famalicao Gil Vicente FC	36.3% 35.3%	28.4%	+243 +127 +245 +115	0 0	-1.26005-1.27168	-1.25896

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Sporting CP (12-0-3, 39 pts)	21.5	4.6	7.9	72.4	29.6%	67.2%	31.7%	0.0%
2	Porto (11-2-2, 35 pts)	23.1	5.0	5.9	75.2	56.8%	85.1%	14.7%	0.0%
3	Benfica (10-2-3, 33 pts)	20.6	5.9	7.5	69.3	11.5%	38.1%	58.9%	0.0%
4	Braga (10-5-0, 30 pts)	19.9	9.5	4.6	64.3	2.0%	9.3%	74.6%	0.0%
5	Pacos (8-3-4, 28 pts)	14.0	10.6	9.4	51.3	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%
6	Vitoria (8-4-2, 26 pts)	16.1	10.3	7.6	55.9	0.1%	0.3%	15.5%	0.0%
7	Moreirense (4-5-6, 18 pts)	10.5	12.4	11.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	2.2%
8	Santa Clara (5-7-3, 18 pts)	11.0	14.5	8.4	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	3.0%
9	Maritimo (5-8-2, 17 pts)	10.7	16.0	7.2	39.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%
10	Belenenses (3-6-6, 15 pts)	8.4	14.4	11.2	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0%
12	Portimonense (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.0	17.0	8.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.1%
13	Tondela (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.3	16.6	8.1	36.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	20.6%
14	Nacional (3-7-5, 14 pts)	7.9	16.0	10.1	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	31.6%
15	Famalicao (3-7-5, 14 pts)	10.0	13.4	10.6	40.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	4.8%
16	Gil Vicente FC (3-8-4, 13 pts)	9.0	15.9	9.2	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.1%
17	SC Farense (3-8-3, 12 pts)	8.3	17.6	8.2	32.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	37.0%
18	Boavista (1-6-8, 11 pts)	6.8	13.7	13.6	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	32.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).