Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 29 days ago

Upcoming Games for June 15, 2026

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Jun 14, 2026

Games for Jun 16, 2026

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/14/2026 03:30 PM	Famalicao Vitoria	20.2% 56.9%	22.9%	+195 +152 +190 +160	2 1	-1.11816-1.11541	-1.59909
03/09/2026 08:15 PM	Rio Ave Tondela	43.3% 27.1%	29.6%	+260 +120 +265 +120	1 0	-1.31390-1.34458	-0.83667
03/08/2026 08:30 PM	Vitoria Santa Clara	46.6% 25.8%	27.6%	+216 +156 +225 +145	0 2	-0.97128-0.94410	-1.35476
03/08/2026 06:00 PM	Porto Benfica	45.3% 28.4%	26.3%	+340 -103 +300 +105	2 2	-1.21797-1.21224	-1.33716
03/07/2026 06:00 PM	Sporting CP Braga	34.7% 38.0%	27.3%	+105 +290 +105 +265	2 2	-1.28226-1.28870	-1.29986
03/07/2026 03:30 PM	Nacional Moreirense	22.8% 49.7%	27.5%	+190 +160 +200 +150	1 1	-1.23018-1.19696	-1.28942
03/02/2026 08:15 PM	Benfica Gil Vicente FC	69.0% 12.1%	18.9%	-175 +525 -175 +490	2 1	-0.48315-0.50055	-0.37154
03/01/2026 08:30 PM	Famalicao Rio Ave	28.6% 44.3%	27.0%	-119 +310 -115 +305	0 0	-1.38422-1.35907	-1.30815
03/01/2026 03:30 PM	Santa Clara Tondela	38.8% 30.8%	30.4%	+165 +215 +155 +215	2 2	-1.08028-1.12927	-1.18938
02/28/2026 06:00 PM	Braga Nacional	71.0% 11.1%	17.9%	-200 +525 -175 +480	2 1	-0.45800-0.50053	-0.34308
02/22/2026 08:30 PM	Rio Ave Porto	7.6% 77.0%	15.4%	+1900 -833 +2100 -950	0 1	-0.15072-0.14908	-0.26130
02/21/2026 08:30 PM	Vitoria Braga	19.8% 57.5%	22.7%	+575 -189 +540 -200	2 3	-0.46142-0.45443	-0.55351
02/21/2026 06:00 PM	Sporting CP Moreirense	62.6% 15.5%	21.9%	-385 +1000 -420 +1100	3 0	-0.26876-0.26334	-0.46860
02/16/2026 08:15 PM	Moreirense Rio Ave	29.8% 40.3%	29.9%	+120 +260 +130 +235	2 1	-0.82860-0.88242	-1.20929
02/15/2026 08:30 PM	Famalicao Sporting CP	10.1% 73.9%	16.0%	+850 -312 +900 -330	0 1	-0.32143-0.31278	-0.30213
02/15/2026 03:30 PM	Porto Nacional	79.3% 6.4%	14.2%	-244 +700 -265 +725	1 0	-0.38317-0.37021	-0.23172

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Sporting CP (12-0-3, 39 pts)	21.5	4.6	7.9	72.4	29.6%	67.2%	31.7%	0.0%
2	Porto (11-2-2, 35 pts)	23.1	5.0	5.9	75.2	56.8%	85.1%	14.7%	0.0%
3	Benfica (10-2-3, 33 pts)	20.6	5.9	7.5	69.3	11.5%	38.1%	58.9%	0.0%
4	Braga (10-5-0, 30 pts)	19.9	9.5	4.6	64.3	2.0%	9.3%	74.6%	0.0%
5	Pacos (8-3-4, 28 pts)	14.0	10.6	9.4	51.3	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%
6	Vitoria (8-4-2, 26 pts)	16.1	10.3	7.6	55.9	0.1%	0.3%	15.5%	0.0%
7	Moreirense (4-5-6, 18 pts)	10.5	12.4	11.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	2.2%
8	Santa Clara (5-7-3, 18 pts)	11.0	14.5	8.4	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	3.0%
9	Maritimo (5-8-2, 17 pts)	10.7	16.0	7.2	39.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%
10	Belenenses (3-6-6, 15 pts)	8.4	14.4	11.2	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0%
12	Portimonense (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.0	17.0	8.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.1%
13	Tondela (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.3	16.6	8.1	36.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	20.6%
14	Nacional (3-7-5, 14 pts)	7.9	16.0	10.1	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	31.6%
15	Famalicao (3-7-5, 14 pts)	10.0	13.4	10.6	40.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	4.8%
16	Gil Vicente FC (3-8-4, 13 pts)	9.0	15.9	9.2	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.1%
17	SC Farense (3-8-3, 12 pts)	8.3	17.6	8.2	32.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	37.0%
18	Boavista (1-6-8, 11 pts)	6.8	13.7	13.6	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	32.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).