Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Samara
CSKA Moscow 		14.5%
63.7%		21.8%
+280
-113

0.76
1.86		2.62
o2½+100
u2½-120

Games for Apr 19, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sochi
Orenburg		59.4%
18.3%		22.4%
+169
+139

0
3		-0.94827-1.70040
Spartak Moscow
Krasnodar		27.6%
45.6%		26.7%
+176
+120

0
2		-0.88245-0.78474
Akhmat Grozny
Ural		33.8%
36.8%		29.4%
+195
+131

1
0		-1.15836-1.08362
Loko Moscow
Sochi		38.4%
32.8%		28.8%
+169
+129

1
0		-1.06528-0.95789
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow		19.7%
55.7%		24.6%
+345
-161

0
0		-1.51177-1.40234
Dynamo Mosc
Rubin Kazan		36.7%
30.9%		32.5%
+114
+198

2
2		-1.33766-1.12516
Ural
Zenit		7.3%
78.2%		14.5%
+490
-189

0
4		-0.50154-0.24557
CSKA Moscow
Orenburg		71.2%
10.7%		18.1%
+104
+215

1
1		-1.36289-1.70821
Orenburg
Akhmat Grozny		18.1%
58.3%		23.5%
+260
-116

0
4		-0.70676-0.53926
Zenit
Spartak Moscow		56.1%
19.7%		24.2%
+144
+168

3
1		-0.96624-0.57823
Rostov
Sochi		35.1%
37.8%		27.1%
+200
+128

0
4		-0.90523-0.97334
Loko Moscow
Krasnodar		27.1%
45.4%		27.5%
+275
-124

1
1		-1.39497-1.29055
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo Mosc		42.8%
27.9%		29.3%
+138
+164

1
2		-1.04834-1.27769
Samara
Rubin Kazan		27.7%
41.9%		30.4%
+150
+185

1
2		-1.10422-0.86965
Sochi
CSKA Moscow		20.7%
54.9%		24.3%
+320
-139

1
3		-0.62159-0.59933
Rubin Kazan
Rostov		24.8%
48.1%		27.1%
+280
-109

0
3		-0.74375-0.73183
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.50783 
Sportsbooks30-0-0 (0.500)3 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52231
-0.01448

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.