Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 26, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zenit
Dynamo Mosc 		60.6%
16.1%		23.4%


1.73
0.76		2.49


Loko Moscow
Rostov 		35.9%
35.4%		28.6%


1.13
1.13		2.26


CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow 		37.8%
33.1%		29.1%


1.14
1.06		2.20


Games for Apr 25, 2025
Games for Apr 27, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rubin Kazan
Rostov		24.8%
48.1%		27.1%
+280
-109

0
3		-0.74375-0.73183
Krasnodar
Orenburg		70.9%
11.2%		17.9%
-109
+235

2
0		-0.74085-0.34346
Samara
Loko Moscow		18.7%
56.4%		24.9%
+280
-134

1
1		-1.46859-1.39074
Spartak Moscow
Ural		50.4%
24.0%		25.6%
+134
+188

2
3		-1.13684-1.42741
Akhmat Grozny
Sochi		25.3%
48.2%		26.4%
+210
+119

2
1		-1.20624-1.37263
Dynamo Mosc
Zenit		11.8%
67.9%		20.2%
+230
-112

3
2		-1.28107-2.13343
Loko Moscow
CSKA Moscow		25.8%
46.2%		28.0%
+275
-130

1
4		-0.64640-0.77243
Ural
Orenburg		47.7%
26.1%		26.2%
+181
+124

2
0		-1.11755-0.74034
Spartak Moscow
Rubin Kazan		43.6%
27.1%		29.3%
+104
+215

4
1		-0.79853-0.83055
Rostov
Samara		44.8%
28.5%		26.7%
+205
+119

1
5		-0.86363-1.25699
Sochi
Krasnodar		21.8%
54.2%		24.1%
+290
-124

0
2		-0.67548-0.61308
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat Grozny		53.5%
20.8%		25.7%
+129
+205

3
2		-0.90278-0.62517
Orenburg
Rubin Kazan		16.8%
59.0%		24.2%
+196
+106

1
1		-1.39776-1.41865
Zenit
Rostov		62.2%
16.6%		21.2%
-101
+260

1
1		-1.25187-1.54957
Dynamo Mosc
Samara		41.8%
28.4%		29.7%
+172
+137

3
3		-1.31479-1.21305
Orenburg
Spartak Moscow		10.0%
72.9%		17.0%
+355
-169

2
3		-0.53741-0.31542
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.70966 
Sportsbooks30-0-1 (0.667)3 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.86726
-0.15760

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.