Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 26, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zenit
Dynamo Mosc 		60.6%
16.1%		23.4%


1.73
0.76		2.49


Loko Moscow
Rostov 		35.9%
35.4%		28.6%


1.13
1.13		2.26


CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow 		37.8%
33.1%		29.1%


1.14
1.06		2.20


Games for Apr 25, 2025
Games for Apr 27, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Samara
Akhmat Grozny		29.9%
40.8%		29.3%
+205
+123

2
1		-1.19148-1.20758
Rubin Kazan
Loko Moscow		21.2%
50.6%		28.2%
+285
-127

2
2		-1.42404-1.26720
CSKA Moscow
Ural		57.0%
19.1%		23.9%
+112
+245

1
2		-1.32400-1.65480
Krasnodar
Dynamo Mosc		42.0%
29.2%		28.8%
+197
+109

3
1		-1.16722-0.86741
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny		52.9%
21.8%		25.3%
+138
+174

2
2		-1.30004-1.37338
Dynamo Mosc
Orenburg		59.2%
17.2%		23.7%
+173
+118

0
3		-0.85458-1.76247
Sochi
Ural		42.7%
30.3%		27.0%
+270
-114

0
1		-0.71476-1.19353
Spartak Moscow
Samara		49.2%
24.4%		26.5%
+158
+153

0
1		-1.00643-1.41247
Rostov
CSKA Moscow		22.8%
52.6%		24.7%
+600
-256

1
4		-0.40395-0.64331
Akhmat Grozny
Rostov		23.3%
51.7%		25.0%
+149
+167

2
3		-1.05829-0.65964
Loko Moscow
Dynamo Mosc		35.5%
33.3%		31.2%
+235
-116

4
2		-1.29393-1.03643
CSKA Moscow
Krasnodar		33.0%
38.2%		28.8%
-141
+325

0
0		-1.42512-1.24452
Zenit
Sochi		64.2%
15.0%		20.8%
+142
+177

1
1		-1.24632-1.57128
Ural
FC Khimki		28.1%
46.1%		25.8%
-115
+280

3
0		-0.70997-1.26954
Rostov
Krasnodar		23.9%
51.7%		24.4%
+330
-141

0
3		-0.61373-0.66008
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow		37.8%
33.1%		29.1%
+147
+168

1
2		-1.06375-1.10497
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.70966 
Sportsbooks30-0-1 (0.667)3 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.86726
-0.15760

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.