Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+182
+133

0.93
2.01		2.94
o2¾-107
u2¾-113

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+225
-108

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-109
u3-111

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal Tula
Akhmat Grozny		29.8%
44.2%		26.0%
+403
-135
+445
-135
1
2		-0.60265-0.60508-0.81622
Sochi
Spartak Moscow		29.8%
45.5%		24.7%
+306
-112
+350
-125
2
1		-1.45594-1.55817-1.21059
Rubin Kazan
FC Khimki		33.5%
39.5%		27.0%
+202
+144
+210
+140
1
1		-1.20421-1.21362-1.30752
Krasnodar
Loko Moscow		37.7%
35.5%		26.9%
+173
+146
+170
+160
1
2		-0.97758-1.00761-1.03578
Dynamo Mosc
Ural		41.9%
31.1%		27.0%
-149
+475
-160
+475
1
0		-0.54770-0.53664-0.86979
Zenit
Ufa		64.1%
15.1%		20.8%
-282
+703
-275
+700
1
1		-1.68325-1.69805-1.57132
Akhmat Grozny
CSKA Moscow		21.4%
55.8%		22.8%
+471
-182
+480
-170
0
2		-0.49540-0.51336-0.58340
Spartak Moscow
Arsenal Tula		50.4%
26.0%		23.7%
-172
+529
-160
+470
1
1		-1.42105-1.39740-1.44084
FC Khimki
Sochi		31.4%
44.5%		24.1%
+388
-122
+335
-110
0
3		-0.63418-0.69752-0.80892
Arsenal Tula
Krasnodar		19.3%
61.3%		19.4%
+520
-233
+560
-215
2
3		-0.43478-0.43211-0.48944
Zenit
Loko Moscow		51.0%
24.5%		24.4%
-135
+400
-135
+375
1
1		-1.37781-1.37215-1.41018
CSKA Moscow
Rostov		42.3%
32.4%		25.3%
+115
+254
+120
+255
3
1		-0.81839-0.83605-0.85958
Dynamo Mosc
Akhmat Grozny		39.6%
32.2%		28.2%
+136
+213
+135
+200
1
2		-1.18889-1.14621-1.13252
Ural
Spartak Moscow		23.9%
53.6%		22.4%
+780
-250
+675
-225
0
1		-0.38125-0.41768-0.62278
Ural
Sochi		28.1%
48.0%		23.9%
+519
-156
+510
-165
0
2		-0.53222-0.52232-0.73462
Akhmat Grozny
Rubin Kazan		31.4%
39.5%		29.0%
+248
+120
+245
+110
1
2		-0.82219-0.79239-0.92783
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.