Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+182
+133

0.93
2.01		2.94
o2¾-107
u2¾-113

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+225
-108

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-109
u3-111

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo Mosc		41.6%
30.7%		27.7%
+180
+159
+180
+165
1
2		-1.01060-1.02521-1.18058
Rostov
FC Khimki		40.7%
35.1%		24.3%
+160
+190
+160
+195
1
1		-1.17089-1.16533-1.41589
Krasnodar
Zenit		23.6%
53.8%		22.5%
+540
-227
+550
-220
2
3		-0.43985-0.42528-0.61928
Loko Moscow
Ufa		45.9%
26.2%		27.9%
+136
+223
+130
+225
1
1		-1.23605-1.22758-1.27604
Sochi
Akhmat Grozny		38.3%
33.2%		28.4%
+180
+175
+180
+170
2
1		-1.06236-1.07852-0.95844
FC Khimki
Krasnodar		24.3%
55.0%		20.8%
+540
-185
+490
-175
1
0		-1.90441-1.82350-1.41552
Zenit
Rostov		56.5%
23.2%		20.3%
-205
+722
-210
+600
4
2		-0.42596-0.43841-0.57012
Loko Moscow
CSKA Moscow		28.8%
43.4%		27.8%
+250
+115
+255
+110
2
1		-1.30438-1.31763-1.24375
Dynamo Mosc
Ufa		40.7%
28.2%		31.1%
+112
+275
+110
+275
3
2		-0.79917-0.79125-0.89924
Rubin Kazan
Arsenal Tula		37.9%
31.8%		30.3%
+121
+240
+125
+230
3
0		-0.85041-0.86462-0.96996
Ufa
CSKA Moscow		19.2%
58.9%		21.9%
+447
-149
+450
-150
0
1		-0.56165-0.56161-0.52935
Krasnodar
Ural		51.5%
25.5%		23.0%
+123
+210
+115
+250
3
0		-0.87777-0.81792-0.66423
Arsenal Tula
Loko Moscow		21.9%
56.6%		21.4%
+504
-164
+500
-170
1
3		-0.52349-0.51400-0.56845
Spartak Moscow
Rubin Kazan		41.3%
29.5%		29.2%
+100
+263
+105
+240
0
1		-1.33895-1.27465-1.22095
Zenit
FC Khimki		64.0%
19.5%		16.6%
-351
+900
-335
+900
3
1		-0.30904-0.31185-0.44694
Dynamo Mosc
Rostov		32.6%
39.3%		28.1%
+133
+241
+130
+230
2
0		-0.89911-0.88201-1.12049
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.