Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+181
+131

0.93
2.01		2.94
o2¾-108
u2¾-112

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+225
-108

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-109
u3-111

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sochi
FC Khimki		37.3%
35.5%		27.1%
-139
+360
-150
+390
0
0		-1.09236-1.10270-1.01013
Arsenal Tula
Ufa		30.8%
39.1%		30.1%
+368
+106
+300
+115
1
2		-0.76572-0.81814-0.93910
Rotor Volgograd
Rubin Kazan		19.7%
54.5%		25.8%
+558
-200
+750
-250
1
1		-1.19466-1.29098-1.11518
Krasnodar
Rostov		40.7%
32.7%		26.5%
+146
+195
+150
+170
3
1		-0.93090-0.97085-0.89794
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny		44.0%
29.0%		27.1%
-107
+262
-110
+280
2
2		-1.03128-1.04648-1.03016
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo Mosc		40.7%
30.0%		29.3%
+120
+217
+130
+205
2
3		-1.21106-1.16632-1.20291
Ural
Loko Moscow		24.0%
53.0%		23.1%
+644
-250
+800
-305
0
1		-0.39276-0.33510-0.63563
Zenit
Tambov		75.1%
13.0%		11.9%
-2326
+2993

5
1		-0.10044-0.28643
FC Khimki
Spartak Moscow		26.8%
50.0%		23.2%
+1011
-303
+950
-350
1
2		-0.30086-0.30162-0.69327
Rostov
Ural		43.3%
31.0%		25.7%
+165
+207
+160
+180
0
1		-1.16964-1.08246-1.17005
Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow		32.3%
39.5%		28.2%
+295
-127
+275
-120
1
3		-0.63463-0.65514-0.92981
Dynamo Mosc
Loko Moscow		29.3%
41.4%		29.3%
+161
+174
+165
+175
0
0		-1.03618-1.04061-1.05424
Rubin Kazan
Arsenal Tula		37.9%
31.8%		30.3%
+190
+175
+150
+205
4
2		-1.09428-0.96551-0.96996
Zenit
Ufa		66.7%
15.8%		17.5%
+108
+260
+110
+295
0
0		-1.03155-1.10847-1.12652
Rotor Volgograd
Sochi		18.3%
62.6%		19.1%
+828
-299
+800
-250
1
2		-0.34677-0.38780-0.46781
Tambov
Akhmat Grozny		26.0%
48.4%		25.5%
+3864
-2500

1
3		-0.08841-0.72468
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.