Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+181
+131

0.93
2.01		2.94
o2¾-108
u2¾-112

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+225
-108

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-109
u3-111

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Spartak Moscow
Arsenal Tula		50.2%
25.9%		23.9%
-127
+369
-140
+360
2
1		-0.61532-0.58848-0.68826
Loko Moscow
Zenit		20.8%
58.5%		20.7%
+590
-238
+550
-220
1
6		-0.40537-0.42740-0.53628
Tambov
Rostov		21.6%
59.5%		18.9%
+2318
-1639
+2500
-1200
0
2		-0.12070-0.13116-0.51961
Ural
FC Khimki		31.0%
43.3%		25.7%
+200
+146
+230
+125
0
1		-0.95117-0.86022-0.83612
Sochi
Krasnodar		26.8%
49.6%		23.6%
+260
-101
+250
+100
3
1		-1.33880-1.30383-1.31826
Ufa
CSKA Moscow		19.2%
58.9%		21.9%
+426
-152
+440
-150
1
1		-1.13451-1.14916-1.08884
Dynamo Mosc
Rubin Kazan		35.9%
31.6%		32.4%
+139
+206
+145
+175
0
2		-1.16639-1.06752-1.15043
Akhmat Grozny
Rotor Volgograd		47.3%
25.0%		27.7%
+123
+239
+125
+240
0
1		-1.27065-1.27827-1.38613
Krasnodar
Rubin Kazan		45.9%
27.0%		27.2%
+177
+146
+180
+145
1
0		-1.07543-1.07937-0.77966
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow		37.1%
33.8%		29.0%
+182
+139
+195
+140
0
1		-0.92836-0.92402-1.08391
Arsenal Tula
Rostov		24.6%
54.2%		21.2%
+232
+129
+240
+125
0
1		-0.87493-0.86074-0.61334
Sochi
Ufa		40.8%
30.2%		29.0%
+154
+205
+160
+200
3
2		-0.98561-1.01088-0.89600
FC Khimki
Dynamo Mosc		29.3%
44.2%		26.5%
+683
-261
+675
-235
1
0		-2.11577-2.09451-1.22830
Loko Moscow
Tambov		54.4%
22.7%		22.8%
-1333
+2415

5
2		-0.13044-0.60796
Rotor Volgograd
Zenit		7.8%
83.1%		9.1%
+3777
-1250

0
6		-0.10131-0.18516
Akhmat Grozny
Ural		34.3%
36.4%		29.4%
+172
+173
+155
+180
1
1		-1.05844-1.03386-1.04117
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.