Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+176
+136

0.93
2.01		2.94
o2¾-106
u2¾-114

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+220
-108

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-109
u3-111

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ufa
Spartak Moscow		22.4%
53.8%		23.9%
+605
-217
+640
-205
3
0		-2.01029-2.05136-1.49669
CSKA Moscow
Sochi		43.3%
30.0%		26.7%
+138
+197
+105
+255
1
2		-1.13666-1.31684-1.20441
Tambov
Arsenal Tula		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+2026
-270
+1550
-750
0
4		-0.20651-0.21236-0.83870
Rubin Kazan
Ural		34.8%
34.0%		31.2%
-127
+340
-105
+305
1
0		-0.65851-0.72091-1.05699
Zenit
Krasnodar		46.8%
27.8%		25.4%
-159
+387
-155
+390
2
2		-1.08600-1.08967-1.02010
Dynamo Mosc
Rotor Volgograd		55.0%
20.4%		24.7%
-125
+398
-125
+400
3
0		-0.63377-0.63626-0.59862
Rostov
Loko Moscow		31.0%
42.2%		26.8%
+354
-121
+375
-125
1
4		-0.64990-0.63828-0.86258
FC Khimki
Akhmat Grozny		34.8%
36.9%		28.3%
+315
-103
+270
+105
1
3		-0.73391-0.77288-0.99823
Rotor Volgograd
CSKA Moscow		12.0%
68.7%		19.3%
+1085
-345
+1100
-400
0
2		-0.27553-0.27194-0.37500
Spartak Moscow
Loko Moscow		34.0%
39.0%		27.0%
+112
+252
+110
+250
0
2		-1.30967-1.30324-0.94240
Ural
Dynamo Mosc		26.5%
48.1%		25.4%
+740
-256
+640
-200
2
2		-1.29984-1.25398-1.03058
Zenit
Sochi		57.7%
21.4%		20.8%
-161
+477
-175
+475
2
1		-0.51044-0.50195-0.54919
Krasnodar
Arsenal Tula		54.8%
23.3%		21.9%
-115
+345
-140
+385
0
1		-1.52813-1.63030-1.45852
Rubin Kazan
Rostov		28.6%
45.4%		25.9%
+166
+184
+170
+180
1
0		-1.01902-1.04214-1.25068
Akhmat Grozny
Ufa		35.4%
35.1%		29.5%
+152
+192
+165
+185
0
3		-1.12772-1.09688-1.04666
Tambov
FC Khimki		25.5%
52.0%		22.5%
+1423
-588
+1075
-535
0
1		-0.21530-0.22647-0.65318
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.