Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+191
+119

0.93
2.01		2.94
o3-102
u3-118

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+235
-112

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-108
u3-112

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Khimki
Zenit		16.0%
70.9%		13.1%
+1742
-650
+1750
-700
0
2		-0.18219-0.18257-0.34329
Spartak Moscow
Rostov		36.5%
35.6%		27.8%
+128
+245
+125
+240
3
2		-0.86339-0.86074-1.00693
CSKA Moscow
Tambov		61.1%
19.7%		19.2%
-769
+3189
-1200
+2200
2
1		-0.11272-0.13327-0.49259
Arsenal Tula
Ural		31.0%
42.0%		27.1%
+182
+162
+235
+135
0
2		-1.04007-0.90503-0.86767
Ufa
Dynamo Mosc		24.4%
47.4%		28.3%
+524
-143
+490
-150
0
4		-0.56971-0.56073-0.74724
Sochi
Rubin Kazan		35.9%
33.7%		30.5%
+205
+144
+210
+150
0
1		-0.94665-0.96551-1.08838
Akhmat Grozny
Krasnodar		22.5%
56.0%		21.5%
+432
-154
+345
-135
5
0		-1.71419-1.54094-1.49139
Loko Moscow
Rotor Volgograd		60.2%
18.3%		21.5%
-122
+388
-120
+390
2
0		-0.64775-0.65737-0.50801
Tambov
Sochi		22.7%
56.5%		20.8%
+1700
-1250

0
5		-0.15530-0.57010
FC Khimki
Rubin Kazan		33.0%
37.8%		29.2%
+461
-150
+475
-160
3
1		-0.85011-0.87878-0.47469
Dynamo Mosc
Krasnodar		26.9%
46.9%		26.2%
+309
-121
+300
-115
3
2		-0.73445-0.71062-0.63329
Ural
Spartak Moscow		24.0%
53.9%		22.1%
+820
-323
+900
-300
1
5		-0.34332-0.33647-0.61784
Loko Moscow
Ufa		45.5%
26.0%		28.5%
+128
+280
+105
+305
1
0		-0.29729-0.26745-0.30059
Arsenal Tula
Akhmat Grozny		29.3%
43.5%		27.2%
+345
-112
+340
-110
0
2		-0.68748-0.69503-0.51462
Zenit
CSKA Moscow		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+145
+222
+130
+225
3
2		-0.36389-0.34671-0.48397
Rostov
Rotor Volgograd		58.4%
20.9%		20.7%
+125
+275
+125
+260
4
0		-0.29408-0.30725-0.30555
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.